Park Aerospace Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

Key Indicators . Simple Moving Average . Stocks . USA . 
Stock . Park Aerospace Corp
PKE Stock  USD 34.87  1.29  3.84%   
Park Aerospace Corp's Simple Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. The Simple Moving Average model projects Park Aerospace at 34.87 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
The two-period moving average forecast for Park Aerospace replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that price and the preceding day's close. This produces a lightly smoothed series that closely tracks the actual price with a one-period lag.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Park Aerospace at 34.87 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 47.16 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Park Aerospace's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Park Aerospace  Park Aerospace Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

Park Aerospace's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. Downside is estimated near 32.04 and upside near 37.70. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
34.87
32.04
Downside
34.87
Expected Value
37.70
Upside
Target Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Park Aerospace stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3283
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2816
MADMean absolute deviation0.7994
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0268
SAESum of the absolute errors47.165
With only two periods, the model is highly responsive to recent Park Aerospace Corp price changes but provides minimal noise reduction. It is best suited for short-term evaluation of low-to-moderate volatility price series. A widening gap between the forecast and actual values may indicate an acceleration in price momentum.

Other Forecasting Options for Park Aerospace

MACD analysis of Park Aerospace tracks the relationship between two exponential moving averages of Park Aerospace's price. Many Park Aerospace's traders use Fibonacci levels to set entry and exit targets based on prior price swings. Average True Range measures the typical daily price swing for Park Aerospace, accounting for gaps.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

Park Aerospace Related Equities

Checking Park Aerospace against related firms within the Industrials space reveals where the stock stands among peers. Checking Park Aerospace against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Park Aerospace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Park Aerospace quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Park Aerospace. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation.
Accumulation Distribution13469.54
Daily Balance Of Power0.5837
Rate Of Daily Change1.04
Day Median Price34.2
Day Typical Price34.42
Price Action Indicator1.32
Period Momentum Indicator1.29

Park Aerospace Risk Indicators

Analyzing Park Aerospace's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Park Aerospace helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization.
Mean Deviation2.13
Semi Deviation2.32
Standard Deviation2.77
Variance7.69
Downside Variance7.9
Semi Variance5.38
Expected Short fall-2.27
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Park Aerospace Short Properties

Short-interest signals around Park Aerospace reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.19 million
Cash And Short Term Investments68.83 million

More Resources for Park Aerospace Stock Analysis

Analysis of Park Aerospace Corp often begins with its financial statements and historical patterns. Ratios connect earnings, costs, and operational efficiency.
Park Aerospace Risk and Volatility Profile
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Park Aerospace Stock Market Risk Analysis
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What is Park Aerospace's Net Worth?
Details
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