Planet Green Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PLAG Stock  USD 3.21  0.01  0.31%   
Planet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Planet Green's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Planet Green's stock price is roughly 62 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Planet, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Planet Green's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Planet Green and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Planet Green's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Planet Green Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Planet Green's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.47)
Using Planet Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Planet Green Holdings from the perspective of Planet Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Green Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.78.

Planet Green after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Green to cross-verify your projections.

Planet Green Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Planet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Planet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Planet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Planet Green Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Planet Green's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2005-09-30
Previous Quarter
455.8 K
Current Value
63.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
13.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Planet Green is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Planet Green Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Planet Green Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Green Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Planet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Planet Green's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Planet Green Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Planet Green  Planet Green Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Planet Green Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Planet Green's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Planet Green's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 13.06, respectively. We have considered Planet Green's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.21
2.99
Expected Value
13.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Planet Green stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Planet Green stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.865
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1439
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0618
SAESum of the absolute errors8.7789
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Planet Green Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Planet Green. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Planet Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Planet Green Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.2713.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.3712.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Planet Green. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Planet Green's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Planet Green's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Planet Green Holdings.

Planet Green After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Planet Green at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Planet Green or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Planet Green, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Planet Green Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Planet Green's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Planet Green's historical news coverage. Planet Green's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 13.34, respectively. We have considered Planet Green's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.21
3.27
After-hype Price
13.34
Upside
Planet Green is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Planet Green Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Planet Green Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Planet Green is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Planet Green backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Planet Green, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.19 
10.07
  0.06 
  0.04 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.21
3.27
1.87 
20,140  
Notes

Planet Green Hype Timeline

Planet Green Holdings is at this time traded for 3.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Planet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.87%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.19%. The volatility of related hype on Planet Green is about 29617.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 406.71 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Green to cross-verify your projections.

Planet Green Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Planet Green's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Planet Green's future price movements. Getting to know how Planet Green's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Planet Green may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BONBon Natural Life 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.55 (6.83) 18.75 
RMCFRocky Mountain Chocolate 0.07 11 per month 3.09  0.11  12.06 (5.98) 25.48 
MWYNMarwynn Holdings Common 0.04 3 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.50 (7.87) 29.68 
NAIINatural Alternatives International(0.07)9 per month 3.00  0.15  9.16 (5.65) 28.68 
HCWCHealthy Choice Wellness 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 11.11 (8.62) 56.39 
PETZTDH Holdings(0.27)35 per month 1.93  0.02  4.04 (2.97) 12.06 
SOWGSow Good Common(0.01)5 per month 7.33  0.01  24.00 (12.90) 55.88 
BTOGBit Origin(0.20)5 per month 0.00 (0.30) 8.67 (11.71) 52.92 
MSSMaison Solutions 0.10 33 per month 0.00 (0.20) 9.52 (11.11) 34.70 
BEDUBright Scholar Education(0.02)16 per month 1.38  0.16  3.72 (2.24) 21.46 

Other Forecasting Options for Planet Green

For every potential investor in Planet, whether a beginner or expert, Planet Green's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Planet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Planet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Planet Green's price trends.

Planet Green Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Planet Green stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Planet Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Planet Green by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Planet Green Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Planet Green stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Planet Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Planet Green stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Planet Green Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Planet Green Risk Indicators

The analysis of Planet Green's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Planet Green's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting planet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Planet Green

The number of cover stories for Planet Green depends on current market conditions and Planet Green's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Planet Green is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Planet Green's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Planet Green Short Properties

Planet Green's future price predictability will typically decrease when Planet Green's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Planet Green Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Planet Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Planet Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments193.9 K
When determining whether Planet Green Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Planet Green's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Planet Green's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Planet Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Green to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Planet Green. If investors know Planet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Planet Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.45)
Revenue Per Share
0.755
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.47)
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(1.41)
The market value of Planet Green Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Planet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Planet Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Planet Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Planet Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Planet Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Planet Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Planet Green is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Planet Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.