Dave Busters Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PLAY Stock | USD 21.17 0.52 2.52% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dave Busters Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.95. Dave Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Dave Busters' stock price is slightly above 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dave, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dave Busters hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dave Busters Entertainment from the perspective of Dave Busters response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dave Busters Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.95. Dave Busters after-hype prediction price | USD 21.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dave Busters to cross-verify your projections. Dave Busters Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dave Busters Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dave Busters Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dave Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dave Busters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dave Busters Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dave Busters | Dave Busters Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dave Busters Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dave Busters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dave Busters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.76 and 25.58, respectively. We have considered Dave Busters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dave Busters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dave Busters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5939 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0618 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5325 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0322 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.95 |
Predictive Modules for Dave Busters
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dave Busters Enterta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dave Busters After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dave Busters at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dave Busters or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dave Busters, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dave Busters Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dave Busters' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dave Busters' historical news coverage. Dave Busters' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.76 and 25.58, respectively. We have considered Dave Busters' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dave Busters is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dave Busters Enterta is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dave Busters Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dave Busters is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dave Busters backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dave Busters, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 4.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.17 | 21.17 | 0.00 |
|
Dave Busters Hype Timeline
Dave Busters Enterta is at this time traded for 21.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dave is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dave Busters is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.17. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. Dave Busters Enterta recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dave Busters to cross-verify your projections.Dave Busters Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dave Busters' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dave Busters' future price movements. Getting to know how Dave Busters' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dave Busters may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RSVR | Reservoir Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | (0.05) | 2.18 | (2.54) | 7.75 | |
| MCS | Marcus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.09 | 3.86 | (2.82) | 11.90 | |
| JFIN | Jiayin Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.01 | (5.74) | 16.66 | |
| GTN | Gray Television | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.91 | (4.53) | 13.88 | |
| AENT | Alliance Entertainment Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.09 | 8.65 | (5.13) | 18.92 | |
| HUYA | HUYA Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.05 | 6.30 | (4.38) | 19.32 | |
| AMCX | AMC Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | (0.02) | 4.07 | (3.04) | 13.26 | |
| WOW | WideOpenWest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.92 | (0.44) | 462.61 | |
| ANGI | ANGI Homeservices | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.29 | (4.24) | 18.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dave Busters
For every potential investor in Dave, whether a beginner or expert, Dave Busters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dave Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dave Busters' price trends.Dave Busters Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dave Busters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dave Busters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dave Busters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dave Busters Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dave Busters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dave Busters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dave Busters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dave Busters Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dave Busters Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dave Busters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dave Busters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dave stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Variance | 19.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dave Busters
The number of cover stories for Dave Busters depends on current market conditions and Dave Busters' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dave Busters is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dave Busters' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Dave Busters Short Properties
Dave Busters' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dave Busters' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dave Busters Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dave Busters' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dave Busters' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 M |
Additional Tools for Dave Stock Analysis
When running Dave Busters' price analysis, check to measure Dave Busters' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dave Busters is operating at the current time. Most of Dave Busters' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dave Busters' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dave Busters' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dave Busters to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.