Preformed Line Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PLPC Stock  USD 143.56  5.04  3.64%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Preformed Line Products on the next trading day is expected to be 137.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 167.54. Preformed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Preformed Line stock prices and determine the direction of Preformed Line Products's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Preformed Line's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 3.69. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 12.75. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 65.7 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 4.3 M.

Preformed Line Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Preformed Line's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
47.4 M
Current Value
47.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
10 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Preformed Line is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Preformed Line Products value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Preformed Line Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Preformed Line Products on the next trading day is expected to be 137.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.75, mean absolute percentage error of 12.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 167.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Preformed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Preformed Line's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Preformed Line Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Preformed LinePreformed Line Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Preformed Line Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Preformed Line's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Preformed Line's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 134.96 and 139.17, respectively. We have considered Preformed Line's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.56
134.96
Downside
137.07
Expected Value
139.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Preformed Line stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Preformed Line stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6144
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.7465
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors167.5357
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Preformed Line Products. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Preformed Line. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Preformed Line

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Preformed Line Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
140.49142.59144.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
108.44110.54157.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
130.24137.71145.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Preformed Line

For every potential investor in Preformed, whether a beginner or expert, Preformed Line's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Preformed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Preformed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Preformed Line's price trends.

Preformed Line Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Preformed Line stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Preformed Line could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Preformed Line by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Preformed Line Products Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Preformed Line's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Preformed Line's current price.

Preformed Line Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Preformed Line stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Preformed Line shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Preformed Line stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Preformed Line Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Preformed Line Risk Indicators

The analysis of Preformed Line's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Preformed Line's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting preformed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Preformed Line Products offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Preformed Line's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Preformed Line Products Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Preformed Line Products Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Preformed Line to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Preformed Line. If investors know Preformed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Preformed Line listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
6.66
Revenue Per Share
116.621
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Preformed Line Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Preformed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Preformed Line's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Preformed Line's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Preformed Line's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Preformed Line's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Preformed Line's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Preformed Line is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Preformed Line's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.