Value Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PLTF Stock  ILS 22.00  0.10  0.46%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Value Capital One on the next trading day is expected to be 22.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.40. Value Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Value Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Value Capital One's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Value Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Value Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Value Capital One are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Value Capital One prices get older.

Value Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Value Capital One on the next trading day is expected to be 22.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Value Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Value Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Value Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Value CapitalValue Capital Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Value Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Value Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Value Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.27 and 25.73, respectively. We have considered Value Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.00
22.00
Expected Value
25.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Value Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Value Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8331
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.07
MADMean absolute deviation0.5733
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.025
SAESum of the absolute errors34.4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Value Capital One forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Value Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Value Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Capital One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2622.0025.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6419.3823.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.1222.3123.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Value Capital

For every potential investor in Value, whether a beginner or expert, Value Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Value Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Value. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Value Capital's price trends.

Value Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Value Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Value Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Value Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Value Capital One Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Value Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Value Capital's current price.

Value Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Value Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Value Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Value Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Value Capital One entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Value Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Value Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Value Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting value stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Value Stock

Value Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Capital security.