Royal Plus Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PLUS Stock   1.17  0.02  1.68%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Royal Plus PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.46. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Royal Plus' stock prices and determine the direction of Royal Plus PCL's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Royal Plus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. The value of RSI of Royal Plus' share price is below 30 as of now indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Royal Plus PCL, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Royal Plus' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Royal Plus PCL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Royal Plus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Royal Plus PCL from the perspective of Royal Plus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Royal Plus PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.46.

Royal Plus after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 1.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Royal Plus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Royal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Royal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Royal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Royal Plus price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Royal Plus Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Royal Plus PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Royal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Royal Plus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Royal Plus Stock Forecast Pattern

Royal Plus Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Royal Plus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Royal Plus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.65, respectively. We have considered Royal Plus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.17
0.84
Expected Value
4.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Royal Plus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Royal Plus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7881
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1687
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1195
SAESum of the absolute errors10.4609
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Royal Plus PCL historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Royal Plus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Plus PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Royal Plus

For every potential investor in Royal, whether a beginner or expert, Royal Plus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Royal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Royal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Royal Plus' price trends.

Royal Plus Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Royal Plus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Royal Plus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Royal Plus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Royal Plus PCL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Royal Plus' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Royal Plus' current price.

Royal Plus Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Royal Plus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Royal Plus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Royal Plus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Royal Plus PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Royal Plus Risk Indicators

The analysis of Royal Plus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Royal Plus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting royal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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