PLAYWAY SA Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PLW Stock | 263.00 6.00 2.33% |
PLAYWAY Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of PLAYWAY SA's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PLAYWAY SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PLAYWAY SA from the perspective of PLAYWAY SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PLAYWAY SA on the next trading day is expected to be 268.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 593.49. PLAYWAY SA after-hype prediction price | PLN 263.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PLAYWAY |
PLAYWAY SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PLAYWAY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PLAYWAY using various technical indicators. When you analyze PLAYWAY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PLAYWAY SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PLAYWAY SA on the next trading day is expected to be 268.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.57, mean absolute percentage error of 125.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 593.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PLAYWAY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PLAYWAY SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PLAYWAY SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PLAYWAY SA | PLAYWAY SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PLAYWAY SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PLAYWAY SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PLAYWAY SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 266.58 and 270.78, respectively. We have considered PLAYWAY SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PLAYWAY SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PLAYWAY SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.7828 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.5725 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0368 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 593.4941 |
Predictive Modules for PLAYWAY SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLAYWAY SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PLAYWAY SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PLAYWAY SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PLAYWAY SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PLAYWAY SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PLAYWAY SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PLAYWAY SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PLAYWAY SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PLAYWAY SA's historical news coverage. PLAYWAY SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 260.92 and 265.08, respectively. We have considered PLAYWAY SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PLAYWAY SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PLAYWAY SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
PLAYWAY SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PLAYWAY SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PLAYWAY SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PLAYWAY SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
263.00 | 263.00 | 0.00 |
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PLAYWAY SA Hype Timeline
PLAYWAY SA is at this time traded for 263.00on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PLAYWAY is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on PLAYWAY SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 263.00. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.62. PLAYWAY SA last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PLAYWAY SA to cross-verify your projections.PLAYWAY SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PLAYWAY SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PLAYWAY SA's future price movements. Getting to know how PLAYWAY SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PLAYWAY SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKL | Skyline Investment SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.74 | (2.88) | 10.11 | |
| LSI | LSI Software SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.09 | 4.73 | (2.41) | 10.15 | |
| MON | Monnari Trade SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.16 | 4.18 | (1.87) | 15.58 | |
| TGS | True Games Syndicate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.14 | (3.57) | 30.95 | |
| MLK | Mlk Foods Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | (0.01) | 4.55 | (4.52) | 18.00 | |
| IPO | Intersport Polska SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.44 | (4.26) | 13.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for PLAYWAY SA
For every potential investor in PLAYWAY, whether a beginner or expert, PLAYWAY SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PLAYWAY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PLAYWAY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PLAYWAY SA's price trends.PLAYWAY SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PLAYWAY SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PLAYWAY SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PLAYWAY SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PLAYWAY SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PLAYWAY SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PLAYWAY SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PLAYWAY SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PLAYWAY SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 338.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 266.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 265.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0021 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 6.0 |
PLAYWAY SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of PLAYWAY SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PLAYWAY SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting playway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PLAYWAY SA
The number of cover stories for PLAYWAY SA depends on current market conditions and PLAYWAY SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PLAYWAY SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PLAYWAY SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for PLAYWAY Stock Analysis
When running PLAYWAY SA's price analysis, check to measure PLAYWAY SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PLAYWAY SA is operating at the current time. Most of PLAYWAY SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PLAYWAY SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PLAYWAY SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PLAYWAY SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.