Plaza Retail Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PLZ-UN Stock | CAD 4.23 0.03 0.70% |
Plaza Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Plaza Retail stock prices and determine the direction of Plaza Retail REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Plaza Retail's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Plaza Retail's share price is at 50 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Plaza Retail, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.728 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 4.6875 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
Using Plaza Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plaza Retail REIT from the perspective of Plaza Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Plaza Retail REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 4.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.65. Plaza Retail after-hype prediction price | CAD 4.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Plaza |
Plaza Retail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plaza price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plaza using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plaza charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Plaza Retail Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Plaza Retail REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 4.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plaza Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plaza Retail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Plaza Retail Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Plaza Retail | Plaza Retail Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Plaza Retail Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Plaza Retail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Plaza Retail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.49 and 5.22, respectively. We have considered Plaza Retail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plaza Retail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plaza Retail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0383 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0427 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6454 |
Predictive Modules for Plaza Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plaza Retail REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plaza Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Plaza Retail After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Plaza Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plaza Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plaza Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plaza Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Plaza Retail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plaza Retail's historical news coverage. Plaza Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.35 and 5.11, respectively. We have considered Plaza Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Plaza Retail is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plaza Retail REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Plaza Retail Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plaza Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plaza Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plaza Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.23 | 4.23 | 0.00 |
|
Plaza Retail Hype Timeline
Plaza Retail REIT is at this time traded for 4.23on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Plaza is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Plaza Retail is about 8600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.23. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Plaza Retail REIT last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plaza Retail to cross-verify your projections.Plaza Retail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Plaza Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plaza Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how Plaza Retail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plaza Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MI-UN | Minto Apartment Real | (0.18) | 3 per month | 0.29 | 0.10 | 1.64 | (1.47) | 27.63 | |
| PRV-UN | Pro Real Estate | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.88 | 0.05 | 1.51 | (1.35) | 5.22 | |
| APR-UN | Automotive Properties Real | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.52 | (0) | 0.94 | (0.75) | 2.62 | |
| WFC | Wall Financial | 0.10 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.03 | 3.99 | (2.95) | 14.07 | |
| MRD | Melcor Developments | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.42 | 0.13 | 1.86 | (1.04) | 3.86 | |
| BTB-UN | BTB Real Estate | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.61 | 0.11 | 1.04 | (0.78) | 3.43 | |
| MRT-UN | Morguard Real Estate | 0.24 | 5 per month | 0.96 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (1.57) | 8.68 | |
| NXR-UN | Nexus Real Estate | (0.03) | 3 per month | 1.17 | (0.04) | 1.84 | (2.03) | 5.66 | |
| MRG-UN | Morguard North American | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.85 | (0.02) | 1.64 | (1.41) | 4.18 | |
| AX-UN | Artis Real Estate | (0.02) | 2 per month | 1.86 | 0.24 | 4.18 | (2.53) | 18.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Plaza Retail
For every potential investor in Plaza, whether a beginner or expert, Plaza Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Plaza Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Plaza. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Plaza Retail's price trends.Plaza Retail Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Plaza Retail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Plaza Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Plaza Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Plaza Retail Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Plaza Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Plaza Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Plaza Retail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Plaza Retail REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Plaza Retail Risk Indicators
The analysis of Plaza Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Plaza Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting plaza stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7115 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7216 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9613 | |||
| Variance | 0.9242 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7909 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5208 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Plaza Retail
The number of cover stories for Plaza Retail depends on current market conditions and Plaza Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plaza Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plaza Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Plaza Retail Short Properties
Plaza Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plaza Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plaza Retail REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plaza Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plaza Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Plaza Stock
Plaza Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Plaza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Plaza with respect to the benefits of owning Plaza Retail security.