Mitra Adiperkasa Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PMDKY Stock | USD 20.43 0.00 0.00% |
Mitra Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Mitra Adiperkasa's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mitra Adiperkasa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk from the perspective of Mitra Adiperkasa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 20.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Mitra Adiperkasa after-hype prediction price | USD 20.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mitra |
Mitra Adiperkasa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mitra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Mitra Adiperkasa Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 20.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mitra Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mitra Adiperkasa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mitra Adiperkasa Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mitra Adiperkasa | Mitra Adiperkasa Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mitra Adiperkasa Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mitra Adiperkasa's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mitra Adiperkasa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.43 and 20.43, respectively. We have considered Mitra Adiperkasa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mitra Adiperkasa pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mitra Adiperkasa pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Mitra Adiperkasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitra Adiperkasa After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mitra Adiperkasa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitra Adiperkasa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mitra Adiperkasa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mitra Adiperkasa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mitra Adiperkasa's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitra Adiperkasa's historical news coverage. Mitra Adiperkasa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.43 and 20.43, respectively. We have considered Mitra Adiperkasa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mitra Adiperkasa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mitra Adiperkasa Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitra Adiperkasa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitra Adiperkasa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitra Adiperkasa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.43 | 20.43 | 0.00 |
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Mitra Adiperkasa Hype Timeline
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk is at this time traded for 20.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mitra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mitra Adiperkasa is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.43. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 4.4. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2019. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk had 5:2 split on the 13th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mitra Adiperkasa to cross-verify your projections.Mitra Adiperkasa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mitra Adiperkasa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitra Adiperkasa's future price movements. Getting to know how Mitra Adiperkasa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitra Adiperkasa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LENTY | Lenta PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LCMRF | La Comer SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.01 | |
| FNXTF | Fenix Outdoor International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.28 | |
| SHOFF | Shoei Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.13 | |
| PCTGY | Pact Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BOZTY | Boozt AB ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.39 | |
| FOVSY | Ford Otomotiv Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 7.75 | (0.73) | 21.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mitra Adiperkasa
For every potential investor in Mitra, whether a beginner or expert, Mitra Adiperkasa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mitra Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mitra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mitra Adiperkasa's price trends.Mitra Adiperkasa Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mitra Adiperkasa pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mitra Adiperkasa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mitra Adiperkasa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mitra Adiperkasa Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mitra Adiperkasa pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mitra Adiperkasa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mitra Adiperkasa pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Mitra Adiperkasa
The number of cover stories for Mitra Adiperkasa depends on current market conditions and Mitra Adiperkasa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitra Adiperkasa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitra Adiperkasa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Mitra Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Mitra Adiperkasa's price analysis, check to measure Mitra Adiperkasa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitra Adiperkasa is operating at the current time. Most of Mitra Adiperkasa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitra Adiperkasa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitra Adiperkasa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitra Adiperkasa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.