Pimco Municipal Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

PML Fund  USD 7.64  0.05  0.66%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pimco Municipal Income on the next trading day is expected to be 7.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80. Pimco Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Pimco Municipal's share price is below 20 indicating that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pimco Municipal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pimco Municipal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pimco Municipal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pimco Municipal Income, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pimco Municipal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pimco Municipal Income from the perspective of Pimco Municipal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pimco Municipal Income on the next trading day is expected to be 7.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.

Pimco Municipal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pimco Municipal to cross-verify your projections.

Pimco Municipal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pimco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pimco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pimco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Pimco Municipal works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Pimco Municipal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pimco Municipal Income on the next trading day is expected to be 7.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pimco Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pimco Municipal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pimco Municipal Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pimco MunicipalPimco Municipal Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pimco Municipal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pimco Municipal's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pimco Municipal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.15 and 8.13, respectively. We have considered Pimco Municipal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.64
7.64
Expected Value
8.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pimco Municipal fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pimco Municipal fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0042
MADMean absolute deviation0.03
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0039
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8019
When Pimco Municipal Income prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Pimco Municipal Income trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Pimco Municipal observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pimco Municipal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Municipal Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.157.648.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.167.658.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pimco Municipal

For every potential investor in Pimco, whether a beginner or expert, Pimco Municipal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pimco Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pimco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pimco Municipal's price trends.

Pimco Municipal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pimco Municipal fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pimco Municipal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pimco Municipal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pimco Municipal Income Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pimco Municipal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pimco Municipal's current price.

Pimco Municipal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pimco Municipal fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pimco Municipal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pimco Municipal fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pimco Municipal Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pimco Municipal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pimco Municipal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pimco Municipal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pimco fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Fund

Pimco Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Municipal security.
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