Perfect Moment Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PMNT Stock | 0.38 0 0.79% |
Perfect Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Perfect Moment's share price is approaching 43 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perfect Moment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.36) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.54) | Wall Street Target Price 3.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.21) |
Using Perfect Moment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perfect Moment from the perspective of Perfect Moment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Perfect Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Perfect Moment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.Perfect Moment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perfect Moment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perfect. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perfect can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perfect Moment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perfect Moment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perfect Moment.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Perfect Moment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99. Perfect Moment after-hype prediction price | USD 0.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perfect Moment to cross-verify your projections. Perfect Moment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perfect price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perfect using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perfect charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perfect Moment Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Perfect Moment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perfect Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perfect Moment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perfect Moment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perfect Moment | Perfect Moment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Perfect Moment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perfect Moment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perfect Moment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.30, respectively. We have considered Perfect Moment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perfect Moment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perfect Moment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.7692 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0019 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0168 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0379 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.992 |
Predictive Modules for Perfect Moment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perfect Moment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perfect Moment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perfect Moment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perfect Moment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perfect Moment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perfect Moment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perfect Moment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perfect Moment's historical news coverage. Perfect Moment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.33, respectively. We have considered Perfect Moment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perfect Moment is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perfect Moment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perfect Moment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perfect Moment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perfect Moment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perfect Moment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 4.92 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 30 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 30 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.38 | 0.41 | 7.05 |
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Perfect Moment Hype Timeline
Perfect Moment is at this time traded for 0.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Perfect is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 7.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Perfect Moment is about 5347.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.37. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.74) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (2.08) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $2.08. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 30 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perfect Moment to cross-verify your projections.Perfect Moment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perfect Moment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perfect Moment's future price movements. Getting to know how Perfect Moment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perfect Moment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LVLU | Lulus Fashion Lounge | 0.05 | 9 per month | 4.14 | 0.24 | 17.79 | (9.81) | 90.79 | |
| BYAH | Park Ha Biological | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 6.67 | (7.69) | 24.00 | |
| CENN | Cenntro Electric Group | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.33 | (6.67) | 24.81 | |
| HWH | HWH International | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.18 | (8.67) | 42.42 | |
| RENT | Rent the Runway | (0.30) | 10 per month | 4.45 | 0.13 | 12.98 | (8.16) | 26.69 | |
| IPW | iPower Inc | (0.31) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 14.98 | (17.32) | 57.41 | |
| CGTL | Creative Global Technology | 0.19 | 10 per month | 8.63 | 0.21 | 31.58 | (16.47) | 149.10 | |
| FLYE | Fly E Group Common | (0.36) | 10 per month | 11.95 | 0.05 | 21.57 | (20.17) | 284.75 | |
| YYGH | YY Group Holding | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.69 | (8.33) | 30.95 | |
| WKSP | Worksport | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.67 | (9.03) | 21.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perfect Moment
For every potential investor in Perfect, whether a beginner or expert, Perfect Moment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perfect Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perfect. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perfect Moment's price trends.Perfect Moment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perfect Moment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perfect Moment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perfect Moment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perfect Moment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perfect Moment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perfect Moment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perfect Moment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perfect Moment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0045 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.003 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.38 |
Perfect Moment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perfect Moment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perfect Moment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perfect stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.95 | |||
| Variance | 24.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perfect Moment
The number of cover stories for Perfect Moment depends on current market conditions and Perfect Moment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perfect Moment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perfect Moment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perfect Moment Short Properties
Perfect Moment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perfect Moment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perfect Moment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perfect Moment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perfect Moment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 M |
Additional Tools for Perfect Stock Analysis
When running Perfect Moment's price analysis, check to measure Perfect Moment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perfect Moment is operating at the current time. Most of Perfect Moment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perfect Moment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perfect Moment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perfect Moment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.