Pennexx Foods Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PNNX Stock  USD 0.01  0  26.67%   
Pennexx Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Pennexx Foods' share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pennexx Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pennexx Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pennexx Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pennexx Foods from the perspective of Pennexx Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pennexx Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.

Pennexx Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pennexx Foods to cross-verify your projections.

Pennexx Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pennexx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pennexx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pennexx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Pennexx Foods simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Pennexx Foods are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Pennexx Foods prices get older.

Pennexx Foods Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pennexx Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000291, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pennexx Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pennexx Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pennexx Foods Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pennexx Foods  Pennexx Foods Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Pennexx Foods Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pennexx Foods' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pennexx Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Pennexx Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
10.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pennexx Foods pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pennexx Foods pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.527
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.001
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0628
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0618
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Pennexx Foods forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Pennexx Foods observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pennexx Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pennexx Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.029.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.029.97
Details

Pennexx Foods After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pennexx Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pennexx Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pennexx Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pennexx Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pennexx Foods' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pennexx Foods' historical news coverage. Pennexx Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.97, respectively. We have considered Pennexx Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.02
After-hype Price
9.97
Upside
Pennexx Foods is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pennexx Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pennexx Foods Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pennexx Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pennexx Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pennexx Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
10.45
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.02
11.11 
0.00  
Notes

Pennexx Foods Hype Timeline

Pennexx Foods is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pennexx is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 11.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Pennexx Foods is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Pennexx Foods currently holds 10.7 M in liabilities. Pennexx Foods has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Pennexx Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pennexx Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pennexx Foods sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pennexx to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pennexx Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pennexx Foods to cross-verify your projections.

Pennexx Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pennexx Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pennexx Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Pennexx Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pennexx Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DFTCDefentect Group 0.00 0 per month 8.95  0.07  43.84 (21.67) 137.65 
VCLDVerecloud 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGUDCom GuardCom 0.00 0 per month 8.90  0.06  27.27 (20.00) 85.71 
NEOMNeoMedia Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EHVVFEhave Inc 0.00 0 per month 12.36  0.06  35.71 (26.67) 82.30 
DVNCFDanavation Technologies Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WRMAWiremedia 0.00 0 per month 23.74  0.16  138.89 (57.89) 419.77 
MANZFManz AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.00  0.00  13.10 
TTCMTautachrome 0.00 0 per month 21.84  0.15  100.00 (50.00) 1,050 
ANDIAndiamo Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Pennexx Foods

For every potential investor in Pennexx, whether a beginner or expert, Pennexx Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pennexx Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pennexx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pennexx Foods' price trends.

Pennexx Foods Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pennexx Foods pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pennexx Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pennexx Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pennexx Foods Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pennexx Foods pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pennexx Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pennexx Foods pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pennexx Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pennexx Foods Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pennexx Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pennexx Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pennexx pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pennexx Foods

The number of cover stories for Pennexx Foods depends on current market conditions and Pennexx Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pennexx Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pennexx Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Pennexx Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Pennexx Foods' price analysis, check to measure Pennexx Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pennexx Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Pennexx Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pennexx Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pennexx Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pennexx Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.