JENNISON NATURAL Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average

PNRCX Fund

USD 66.10 0.17 0.26%

Jennison Natural Resources's Simple Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Simple Moving Average model projects JENNISON NATURAL at 66.10 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.

The two-period moving average forecast for JENNISON NATURAL replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that price and the preceding day's close. This produces a lightly smoothed series that closely tracks the actual price with a one-period lag.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts JENNISON NATURAL at 66.10 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 43.98 .

This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks JENNISON NATURAL's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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JENNISON NATURAL Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The projected range for JENNISON NATURAL reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 64.69 and upside near 67.51. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

66.10

64.69

Downside

66.10

Expected Value

67.51

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for JENNISON NATURAL mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	116.0708
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	-0.0683
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.733
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0115
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	43.98

With only two periods, the model is highly responsive to recent Jennison Natural Resources price changes but provides minimal noise reduction. It is best suited for short-term evaluation of low-to-moderate volatility price series. A widening gap between the forecast and actual values may indicate an acceleration in price momentum.

Other Forecasting Options for JENNISON NATURAL

Bollinger Bands applied to JENNISON NATURAL Mutual Fund price data measure how far JENNISON NATURAL has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to JENNISON NATURAL's price data. On-balance volume for JENNISON NATURAL Mutual Fund creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in JENNISON NATURAL. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for JENNISON NATURAL's.

JENNISON NATURAL Related Equities

The stocks listed below are peers of JENNISON NATURAL within the Natural Resources space and offer context for ranking and strength. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.

Strategic Advisers Emerging Thrivent Diversified Income Baron Emerging Markets Ivy Emerging Markets Mercer Emerging Markets Vanguard Emerging Markets American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup SentinelOne CVS Health Corp Chevron Corp The Home Depot

Risk & Return

Correlation

JENNISON NATURAL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for JENNISON NATURAL quantify how the mutual fund responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in JENNISON NATURAL. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for JENNISON NATURAL through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.

	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	66.1
	Day Typical Price	66.1
	Price Action Indicator	0.085
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.17
	Relative Strength Index	56.09

JENNISON NATURAL Risk Indicators

Analyzing JENNISON NATURAL's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in JENNISON NATURAL helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, JENNISON NATURAL's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.

	Mean Deviation	1.19
	Semi Deviation	1.65
	Standard Deviation	1.59
	Variance	2.53
	Downside Variance	3.5
	Semi Variance	2.74
	Expected Short fall	-1.09

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average