Precision Optics, Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| POCI Stock | 5.08 0.03 0.59% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Precision Optics, on the next trading day is expected to be 5.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25. Precision Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Precision Optics,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Precision |
Precision Optics, Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Precision Optics, on the next trading day is expected to be 5.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Precision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Precision Optics,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Precision Optics, Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Precision Optics, | Precision Optics, Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Precision Optics, Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Precision Optics,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Precision Optics,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.41 and 9.61, respectively. We have considered Precision Optics,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Precision Optics, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Precision Optics, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0185 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1874 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0376 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.2461 |
Predictive Modules for Precision Optics,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Precision Optics,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Precision Optics,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Precision Optics,
For every potential investor in Precision, whether a beginner or expert, Precision Optics,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Precision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Precision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Precision Optics,'s price trends.View Precision Optics, Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Precision Optics, Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Precision Optics,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Precision Optics,'s current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Precision Optics, Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Precision Optics, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Precision Optics, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Precision Optics, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Precision Optics, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Precision Optics, Risk Indicators
The analysis of Precision Optics,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Precision Optics,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting precision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Variance | 20.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether Precision Optics, offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Precision Optics,'s financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Precision Optics, Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Precision Optics, Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Precision Optics, to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Precision Stock please use our How to Invest in Precision Optics, guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Precision Optics,. If investors know Precision will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Precision Optics, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.62) | Revenue Per Share 3.148 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.27) |
The market value of Precision Optics, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Precision that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Precision Optics,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Precision Optics,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Precision Optics,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Precision Optics,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Precision Optics,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Precision Optics, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Precision Optics,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.