Polygon Ecosystem Crypto Coin Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| POL Crypto | USD 0.57 0.07 14.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polygon Ecosystem Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.84. Polygon Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Polygon Ecosystem crypto prices and determine the direction of Polygon Ecosystem Token's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Polygon Ecosystem's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Polygon |
Polygon Ecosystem Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polygon Ecosystem Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Polygon Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Polygon Ecosystem's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Polygon Ecosystem Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Polygon Ecosystem Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Polygon Ecosystem's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Polygon Ecosystem's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.49, respectively. We have considered Polygon Ecosystem's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polygon Ecosystem crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polygon Ecosystem crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0142 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0362 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8407 |
Predictive Modules for Polygon Ecosystem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polygon Ecosystem Token. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Polygon Ecosystem
For every potential investor in Polygon, whether a beginner or expert, Polygon Ecosystem's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Polygon Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Polygon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Polygon Ecosystem's price trends.Polygon Ecosystem Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Polygon Ecosystem crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Polygon Ecosystem could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polygon Ecosystem by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Polygon Ecosystem Token Technical and Predictive Analytics
The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Polygon Ecosystem's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Polygon Ecosystem's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Polygon Ecosystem Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Polygon Ecosystem crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Polygon Ecosystem shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Polygon Ecosystem crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Polygon Ecosystem Token entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Polygon Ecosystem Risk Indicators
The analysis of Polygon Ecosystem's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Polygon Ecosystem's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting polygon crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.4 | |||
| Variance | 29.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Polygon Ecosystem Token offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Polygon Ecosystem's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Polygon Ecosystem Token Crypto.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Polygon Ecosystem to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.