Polar Power Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| POLA Stock | USD 1.47 0.09 5.77% |
Polar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Polar Power stock prices and determine the direction of Polar Power's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Polar Power's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Polar Power's share price is approaching 37 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Polar Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) |
Using Polar Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Polar Power from the perspective of Polar Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polar Power on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.94. Polar Power after-hype prediction price | USD 1.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Polar Power to cross-verify your projections. Polar Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Polar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polar Power Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Polar Power on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Polar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Polar Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Polar Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Polar Power | Polar Power Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Polar Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Polar Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Polar Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.73, respectively. We have considered Polar Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polar Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polar Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0266 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1177 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0559 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.9435 |
Predictive Modules for Polar Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polar Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Polar Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Polar Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Polar Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Polar Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Polar Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Polar Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Polar Power's historical news coverage. Polar Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 9.66, respectively. We have considered Polar Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Polar Power is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Polar Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Polar Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Polar Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polar Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Polar Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.25 | 8.29 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.47 | 1.37 | 6.80 |
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Polar Power Hype Timeline
Polar Power is at this time traded for 1.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Polar is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.8%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.25%. The volatility of related hype on Polar Power is about 12872.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.39. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Polar Power recorded a loss per share of 1.82. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:7 split on the 19th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Polar Power to cross-verify your projections.Polar Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Polar Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Polar Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Polar Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Polar Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZOOZ | ZOOZ Power Ltd | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.12 | (10.17) | 46.81 | |
| CETY | Clean Energy Technologies | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.93 | (13.04) | 140.58 | |
| MWG | Multi Ways Holdings | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.00 | (8.00) | 60.59 | |
| CVR | Chicago Rivet Machine | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.94 | 0.11 | 6.82 | (4.16) | 21.37 | |
| EHGO | Eshallgo Class A | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 8.70 | (8.00) | 28.72 | |
| SOAR | Volato Group | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.93 | (11.67) | 36.59 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| CLWT | Euro Tech Holdings | 0.07 | 5 per month | 2.54 | 0.01 | 3.88 | (4.17) | 14.34 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | (0.11) | 9 per month | 9.21 | 0.01 | 15.58 | (14.95) | 141.67 | |
| YGMZ | Mingzhu Logistics Holdings | (0) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 31.25 | (36.84) | 130.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Polar Power
For every potential investor in Polar, whether a beginner or expert, Polar Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Polar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Polar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Polar Power's price trends.Polar Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Polar Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Polar Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polar Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Polar Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Polar Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Polar Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Polar Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Polar Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.13 |
Polar Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Polar Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Polar Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting polar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.18 | |||
| Variance | 66.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Polar Power
The number of cover stories for Polar Power depends on current market conditions and Polar Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Polar Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Polar Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Polar Power Short Properties
Polar Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Polar Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Polar Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Polar Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polar Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 498 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Polar Power to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Polar Stock refer to our How to Trade Polar Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Heavy Electrical Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polar Power. Anticipated expansion of Polar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Polar Power assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.82) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Polar Power is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Polar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Polar Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Polar Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Polar Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Polar Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Polar Power's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Polar Power should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Polar Power's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.