Pony AI Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

PONY Stock   13.57  0.31  2.23%   
Pony Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Pony AI's share price is approaching 41 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pony AI, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pony AI's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pony AI American, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pony AI's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.58)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.58)
Wall Street Target Price
24.5636
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.72
Using Pony AI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pony AI American from the perspective of Pony AI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pony AI using Pony AI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pony using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pony AI's stock price.

Pony AI Short Interest

An investor who is long Pony AI may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pony AI and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pony AI with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
14.4721
Short Percent
0.0972
Short Ratio
3.01
Shares Short Prior Month
18.3 M
50 Day MA
16.7523

Pony Relative Strength Index

Pony AI American Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pony AI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pony. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pony can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pony AI American. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pony AI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pony AI.

Pony AI Implied Volatility

    
  1.14  
Pony AI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pony AI American stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pony AI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pony AI stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pony AI's options are near their expiration.

Pony AI after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pony AI to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pony contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pony AI American will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0712% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Pony AI trading at USD 13.57, that is roughly USD 0.009669 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pony AI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pony AI American options at the current volatility level of 1.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pony Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pony AI's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pony AI's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pony AI stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pony AI's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pony AI's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pony AI is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pony. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Pony AI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pony price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pony using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pony charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Pony AI American has current Price Action Indicator of (0.51). Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Pony AI VolatilityBacktest Pony AIInformation Ratio  

Pony AI Trading Date Momentum

On February 02 2026 Pony AI American was traded for  13.57  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 14.28  and the lowest listed price was  13.57 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 2, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.28% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Pony AI to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Pony AI

For every potential investor in Pony, whether a beginner or expert, Pony AI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pony Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pony AI's price trends.

Pony AI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pony AI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pony AI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pony AI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pony AI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pony AI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pony AI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pony AI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pony AI American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pony AI Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pony AI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pony AI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pony stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pony AI

The number of cover stories for Pony AI depends on current market conditions and Pony AI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pony AI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pony AI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pony AI Short Properties

Pony AI's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pony AI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pony AI American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pony AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pony AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments745 M

Additional Tools for Pony Stock Analysis

When running Pony AI's price analysis, check to measure Pony AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pony AI is operating at the current time. Most of Pony AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pony AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pony AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pony AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.