Pool Safe Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| POOL Stock | CAD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Pool Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Pool Safe's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 9
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
Using Pool Safe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pool Safe from the perspective of Pool Safe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pool Safe on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Pool Safe after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pool |
Pool Safe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pool price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pool using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pool charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pool Safe Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pool Safe on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000024, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pool Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pool Safe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pool Safe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pool Safe | Pool Safe Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pool Safe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pool Safe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pool Safe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered Pool Safe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pool Safe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pool Safe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.3319 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0355 |
Predictive Modules for Pool Safe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pool Safe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pool Safe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pool Safe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pool Safe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pool Safe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pool Safe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pool Safe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pool Safe's historical news coverage. Pool Safe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered Pool Safe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pool Safe is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pool Safe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pool Safe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pool Safe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pool Safe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pool Safe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 6.28 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
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Pool Safe Hype Timeline
Pool Safe is at this time traded for 0.02on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Pool is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pool Safe is about 5814.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Pool Safe last dividend was issued on the 24th of April 2017. The entity had 1:4 split on the 24th of April 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pool Safe to cross-verify your projections.Pool Safe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pool Safe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pool Safe's future price movements. Getting to know how Pool Safe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pool Safe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMZN | Amazon CDR | (0.68) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.57 | (2.43) | 8.79 | |
| AMZN | Amazon CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.50 | (2.43) | 8.79 | |
| WMT | Walmart Inc CDR | 0.23 | 1 per month | 1.11 | 0.12 | 3.58 | (1.76) | 9.98 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group CDR | 0.08 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.74 | (2.29) | 23.67 | |
| BRK | Berkshire Hathaway CDR | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.22 | (1.37) | 3.90 | |
| AAPL | Apple CDR | (0.27) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.61 | (1.76) | 8.84 | |
| AAPL | Apple Inc CDR | 0.76 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.61 | (1.76) | 8.84 | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc CDR | 0.25 | 3 per month | 1.25 | 0.04 | 2.65 | (2.30) | 9.38 | |
| GOOG | Alphabet CDR (CAD Hedged) | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.65 | (2.30) | 9.38 | |
| CVS | CVS HEALTH CDR | 0.47 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.41 | (2.79) | 17.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pool Safe
For every potential investor in Pool, whether a beginner or expert, Pool Safe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pool Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pool. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pool Safe's price trends.Pool Safe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pool Safe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pool Safe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pool Safe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pool Safe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pool Safe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pool Safe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pool Safe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pool Safe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pool Safe Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pool Safe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pool Safe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pool stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.04 | |||
| Variance | 36.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pool Safe
The number of cover stories for Pool Safe depends on current market conditions and Pool Safe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pool Safe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pool Safe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Pool Stock Analysis
When running Pool Safe's price analysis, check to measure Pool Safe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pool Safe is operating at the current time. Most of Pool Safe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pool Safe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pool Safe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pool Safe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.