Peet Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PPC Stock   2.14  0.03  1.42%   
Peet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Peet's stock price is slightly above 60 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Peet, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peet's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Peet's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.583
Wall Street Target Price
1.45
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.661
Using Peet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peet from the perspective of Peet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Peet on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.

Peet after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 2.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peet to cross-verify your projections.

Peet Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Peet is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Peet Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Peet on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peet Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Peet  Peet Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Peet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.32 and 3.96, respectively. We have considered Peet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.14
2.14
Expected Value
3.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8343
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0055
MADMean absolute deviation0.0292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors1.725
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Peet price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Peet. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Peet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.312.133.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.242.063.88
Details

Peet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peet's historical news coverage. Peet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.31 and 3.95, respectively. We have considered Peet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.14
2.13
After-hype Price
3.95
Upside
Peet is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peet Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.82
  0.01 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.14
2.13
0.47 
2,600  
Notes

Peet Hype Timeline

Peet is at this time traded for 2.14on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Peet is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Peet is about 25480.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.14. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Peet last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2025. The entity had 1.0435:1 split on the 30th of March 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peet to cross-verify your projections.

Peet Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peet's future price movements. Getting to know how Peet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Peet

For every potential investor in Peet, whether a beginner or expert, Peet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peet's price trends.

Peet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Peet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Peet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Peet

The number of cover stories for Peet depends on current market conditions and Peet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Peet Short Properties

Peet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding468.4 M
Dividends Paid25.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47.3 M

Additional Tools for Peet Stock Analysis

When running Peet's price analysis, check to measure Peet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peet is operating at the current time. Most of Peet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.