Perusahaan Perkebunan Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

PPLFY Stock  USD 3.55  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perusahaan Perkebunan London on the next trading day is expected to be 3.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Perusahaan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Perusahaan Perkebunan works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Perusahaan Perkebunan Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perusahaan Perkebunan London on the next trading day is expected to be 3.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perusahaan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perusahaan Perkebunan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Perusahaan Perkebunan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Perusahaan Perkebunan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Perusahaan Perkebunan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perusahaan Perkebunan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.55 and 3.55, respectively. We have considered Perusahaan Perkebunan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.55
3.55
Expected Value
3.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perusahaan Perkebunan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perusahaan Perkebunan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Perusahaan Perkebunan London prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Perusahaan Perkebunan London trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Perusahaan Perkebunan observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Perusahaan Perkebunan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perusahaan Perkebunan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.553.553.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.553.553.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Perusahaan Perkebunan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Perusahaan Perkebunan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Perusahaan Perkebunan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Perusahaan Perkebunan.

Other Forecasting Options for Perusahaan Perkebunan

For every potential investor in Perusahaan, whether a beginner or expert, Perusahaan Perkebunan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perusahaan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perusahaan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perusahaan Perkebunan's price trends.

Perusahaan Perkebunan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perusahaan Perkebunan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perusahaan Perkebunan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perusahaan Perkebunan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Perusahaan Perkebunan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Perusahaan Perkebunan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Perusahaan Perkebunan's current price.

Perusahaan Perkebunan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perusahaan Perkebunan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perusahaan Perkebunan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perusahaan Perkebunan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Perusahaan Perkebunan London entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Perusahaan Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Perusahaan Perkebunan's price analysis, check to measure Perusahaan Perkebunan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perusahaan Perkebunan is operating at the current time. Most of Perusahaan Perkebunan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perusahaan Perkebunan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perusahaan Perkebunan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perusahaan Perkebunan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.