Prabos Plus Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PRAB Stock | 252.00 0.00 0.00% |
Prabos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Prabos Plus' share price is approaching 48 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prabos Plus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Prabos Plus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prabos Plus as from the perspective of Prabos Plus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prabos Plus as on the next trading day is expected to be 252.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.57. Prabos Plus after-hype prediction price | CZK 252.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prabos |
Prabos Plus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prabos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prabos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prabos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prabos Plus Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prabos Plus as on the next trading day is expected to be 252.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.60, mean absolute percentage error of 21.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prabos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prabos Plus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prabos Plus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prabos Plus | Prabos Plus Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Prabos Plus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prabos Plus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prabos Plus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 251.02 and 254.48, respectively. We have considered Prabos Plus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prabos Plus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prabos Plus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1576 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.5994 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 219.5655 |
Predictive Modules for Prabos Plus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prabos Plus as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prabos Plus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prabos Plus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prabos Plus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prabos Plus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prabos Plus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prabos Plus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prabos Plus' historical news coverage. Prabos Plus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 250.27 and 253.73, respectively. We have considered Prabos Plus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prabos Plus is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prabos Plus as is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prabos Plus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prabos Plus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prabos Plus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prabos Plus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
252.00 | 252.00 | 0.00 |
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Prabos Plus Hype Timeline
Prabos Plus as is at this time traded for 252.00on Prague Stock Exchange of Czech Republic. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Prabos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prabos Plus is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 252.00. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 54.3. Prabos Plus as last dividend was issued on the 4th of June 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prabos Plus to cross-verify your projections.Prabos Plus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prabos Plus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prabos Plus' future price movements. Getting to know how Prabos Plus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prabos Plus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRAB | Prabos Plus as | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.02) | 3.20 | (3.12) | 10.57 | |
| MONET | Moneta Money Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.03 | 1.89 | (1.69) | 9.99 | |
| TABAK | Philip Morris CR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | 0.04 | 1.48 | (1.23) | 3.61 | |
| KOMB | Komercni Banka AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.49 | (1.50) | 4.68 | |
| VIG | Vienna Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.23 | 5.02 | (2.08) | 12.17 | |
| ERBAG | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.10 | 2.59 | (1.84) | 7.85 | |
| CZG | Colt CZ Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.15 | 2.29 | (1.32) | 6.12 | |
| UQA | UNIQA Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.18 | 2.49 | (1.33) | 13.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prabos Plus
For every potential investor in Prabos, whether a beginner or expert, Prabos Plus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prabos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prabos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prabos Plus' price trends.Prabos Plus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prabos Plus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prabos Plus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prabos Plus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prabos Plus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prabos Plus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prabos Plus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prabos Plus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prabos Plus as entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Prabos Plus Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prabos Plus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prabos Plus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prabos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8165 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prabos Plus
The number of cover stories for Prabos Plus depends on current market conditions and Prabos Plus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prabos Plus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prabos Plus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prabos Plus Short Properties
Prabos Plus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Prabos Plus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prabos Plus as often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prabos Plus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prabos Plus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0373 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 14.9 |
Additional Tools for Prabos Stock Analysis
When running Prabos Plus' price analysis, check to measure Prabos Plus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prabos Plus is operating at the current time. Most of Prabos Plus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prabos Plus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prabos Plus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prabos Plus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.