Prakit Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PRAKIT Stock | THB 11.40 0.30 2.70% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prakit Holdings Public on the next trading day is expected to be 11.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. Prakit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prakit Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Prakit Holdings Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prakit Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now, The value of RSI of Prakit Holdings' share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prakit Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Prakit Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prakit Holdings Public from the perspective of Prakit Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prakit Holdings Public on the next trading day is expected to be 11.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. Prakit Holdings after-hype prediction price | THB 11.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prakit |
Prakit Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prakit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prakit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prakit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prakit Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prakit Holdings Public on the next trading day is expected to be 11.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prakit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prakit Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prakit Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prakit Holdings | Prakit Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Prakit Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prakit Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prakit Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.80 and 12.85, respectively. We have considered Prakit Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prakit Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prakit Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5035 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0191 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1718 |
Predictive Modules for Prakit Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prakit Holdings Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prakit Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prakit Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prakit Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prakit Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prakit Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prakit Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prakit Holdings' historical news coverage. Prakit Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.88 and 12.92, respectively. We have considered Prakit Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prakit Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prakit Holdings Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prakit Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prakit Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prakit Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prakit Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.40 | 11.40 | 0.00 |
|
Prakit Holdings Hype Timeline
Prakit Holdings Public is at this time traded for 11.40on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Prakit is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prakit Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.40. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Prakit Holdings Public last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2022. The entity had 11:10 split on the 28th of April 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prakit Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Prakit Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prakit Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prakit Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Prakit Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prakit Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MATI | Matichon Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.06 | (4.28) | 14.61 | |
| ADD | AddTech Hub Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.21 | 4.43 | (1.50) | 13.05 | |
| RS | RS Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 34.06 | |
| AQUA | Aqua Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.15 | (0.01) | 6.67 | (6.25) | 13.39 | |
| GPI | Grand Prix International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | (0.16) | 1.27 | (0.64) | 2.53 | |
| NATION | Nation Group PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.34 | 0.12 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 58.33 | |
| MATCH | Matching Maximize Solution | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.60 | (6.06) | 22.96 | |
| PICO | Pico Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.88 | (4.59) | 13.04 | |
| MVP | M Vision Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 11.76 | (10.53) | 62.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prakit Holdings
For every potential investor in Prakit, whether a beginner or expert, Prakit Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prakit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prakit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prakit Holdings' price trends.Prakit Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prakit Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prakit Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prakit Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prakit Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prakit Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prakit Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prakit Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prakit Holdings Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Prakit Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prakit Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prakit Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prakit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prakit Holdings
The number of cover stories for Prakit Holdings depends on current market conditions and Prakit Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prakit Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prakit Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Prakit Stock
Prakit Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prakit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prakit with respect to the benefits of owning Prakit Holdings security.