Premier Community Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PREM Stock   0.05  0.01  16.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier Community Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Premier Community's stock prices and determine the direction of Premier Community Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Premier Community's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services. As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Premier Community's share price is at 56 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Premier Community, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Premier Community's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Premier Community and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Premier Community's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Premier Community Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Premier Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Premier Community Bankshares from the perspective of Premier Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier Community Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.

Premier Community after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Premier Community Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Premier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Premier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Premier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Premier Community - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Premier Community prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Premier Community price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Premier Community.

Premier Community Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier Community Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000025, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Premier Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Premier Community's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Premier Community Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Premier Community Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Premier Community's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Premier Community's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 11.80, respectively. We have considered Premier Community's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.05
0.0005
Downside
0.05
Expected Value
11.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Premier Community pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Premier Community pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0038
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.095
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2308
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Premier Community observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Premier Community Bankshares observations.

Predictive Modules for Premier Community

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Community. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Premier Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Premier Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Premier Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Premier Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Premier Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Premier Community Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Premier Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Premier Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Premier Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84 
11.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.05
0.05
2.04 
0.00  
Notes

Premier Community Hype Timeline

Premier Community is at this time traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Premier is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 2.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on Premier Community is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Premier Community Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Premier Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Premier Community's future price movements. Getting to know how Premier Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Premier Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HPYCFHappy Creek Minerals 0.00 0 per month 15.53  0.12  50.00 (31.25) 214.29 
CAMZFCamino Minerals 0.00 0 per month 4.16  0.20  21.62 (7.69) 46.85 
SLZNFSlave Lake Zinc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  2,493 
APCOFNew Tech Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 10.53 (10.00) 36.67 
ULTHFUnited Lithium Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.52  0.08  11.11 (9.09) 28.88 
CDMNFCanadian Manganese 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  1,900 
LILIFArgentina Lithium Energy 0.00 0 per month 6.62  0.04  15.07 (12.00) 50.80 
ERVFFErin Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 12.50 (20.00) 58.89 
EUMNFEuro Manganese 0.00 0 per month 5.55  0.07  9.09 (8.33) 72.22 
CNOBFHemlo Explorers 0.00 0 per month 6.27  0.12  23.53 (13.70) 49.61 

Other Forecasting Options for Premier Community

For every potential investor in Premier, whether a beginner or expert, Premier Community's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Premier Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Premier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Premier Community's price trends.

Premier Community Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Premier Community pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Premier Community could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Premier Community by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Premier Community Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Premier Community pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Premier Community shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Premier Community pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Premier Community Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Premier Community Risk Indicators

The analysis of Premier Community's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Premier Community's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting premier pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Premier Community

The number of cover stories for Premier Community depends on current market conditions and Premier Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Premier Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Premier Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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