Perrigo Company Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average

PRGO Stock

USD 11.94 0.00 0.00%

Perrigo Company's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Perrigo Company at 11.94 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.

The four-period moving average forecast for Perrigo Company PLC replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the four preceding closing prices. This smoothing window is wide enough to dampen short-term noise while still responding to recent price shifts in Perrigo Company.

4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Perrigo Company at 11.94 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 24.97 .

This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Perrigo Company's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Perrigo Company Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

Perrigo Company's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The current forecast range spans downside near 8.73 and upside near 15.16. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

11.94

8.73

Downside

11.94

Expected Value

15.16

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Perrigo Company stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	109.7244
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	0.0958
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.438
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0393
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	24.9662

The model is suited for higher-volatility price series where a two-period average would be too reactive. It does not extrapolate a trend equation, so its forecasting utility is limited to one or two periods ahead. Tighter error metrics (lower MAD/MAPE) indicate that Perrigo Company price movement is well-captured by this smoothing window.

Other Forecasting Options for Perrigo Company

Analyzing Perrigo Company's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Perrigo Company's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.

Perrigo Company Related Equities

Perrigo Company's market space within the Health Care space is illustrated by the firms listed below. Looking at Perrigo Company's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. When Perrigo Company breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring. Weighing both financial metrics and softer factors when comparing these firms produces a more balanced assessment.

HUTCHMED DRC Bausch Health Companies Supernus Pharmaceuticals Heartflow Common Stock Alphatec Holdings LivaNova PLC Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Surgery Partners Scholar Rock Holding Amicus Therapeutics American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

Perrigo Company Market Strength Events

For investors tracking Perrigo Company PLC, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Perrigo Company.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0779
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	12.09
	Day Typical Price	12.04
	Market Facilitation Index	0.98
	Price Action Indicator	-0.15

Perrigo Company Risk Indicators

Analyzing Perrigo Company's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for perrigo company stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Perrigo Company.

	Mean Deviation	2.56
	Standard Deviation	3.22
	Variance	10.36

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Perrigo Company Short Properties

Short-interest signals around Perrigo Company reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	138.5 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	531.6 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average