Primoris Services Stock Forward View
| PRIM Stock | USD 148.25 4.22 2.77% |
Primoris Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Primoris Services' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Primoris Services' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Primoris Services fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Primoris Services' share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primoris Services, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.617 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.049 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.5079 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8388 | Wall Street Target Price 152.8572 |
Using Primoris Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primoris Services from the perspective of Primoris Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primoris Services using Primoris Services' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primoris using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primoris Services' stock price.
Primoris Services Short Interest
An investor who is long Primoris Services may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Primoris Services and may potentially protect profits, hedge Primoris Services with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 108.4945 | Short Percent 0.0753 | Short Ratio 2.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 721.5 K | 50 Day MA 132.3226 |
Primoris Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Primoris Services on the next trading day is expected to be 144.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.18.Primoris Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Primoris Services' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primoris. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primoris can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primoris Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primoris Services' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primoris Services.
Primoris Services Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Primoris Services' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primoris Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primoris Services' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primoris Services stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primoris Services' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Primoris Services on the next trading day is expected to be 144.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.18. Primoris Services after-hype prediction price | USD 148.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primoris Services to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Primoris contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Primoris Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Primoris Services trading at USD 148.25, that is roughly USD 0.0695 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Primoris Services' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Primoris Services options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Primoris Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Primoris Services' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Primoris Services' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Primoris Services stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Primoris Services' open interest, investors have to compare it to Primoris Services' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Primoris Services is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Primoris. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Primoris Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primoris price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primoris using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primoris charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Primoris Services Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Primoris Services' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2006-06-30 | Previous Quarter 390.3 M | Current Value 437.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 95 M |
Primoris Services Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Primoris Services on the next trading day is expected to be 144.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.76, mean absolute percentage error of 11.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Primoris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Primoris Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Primoris Services Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Primoris Services | Primoris Services Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Primoris Services Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Primoris Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Primoris Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 141.56 and 147.77, respectively. We have considered Primoris Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Primoris Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Primoris Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5782 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.757 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0212 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 168.1782 |
Predictive Modules for Primoris Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primoris Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Primoris Services After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primoris Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primoris Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primoris Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primoris Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primoris Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primoris Services' historical news coverage. Primoris Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.93 and 151.17, respectively. We have considered Primoris Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primoris Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primoris Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primoris Services Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primoris Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primoris Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primoris Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.10 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
148.25 | 148.05 | 0.13 |
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Primoris Services Hype Timeline
Primoris Services is at this time traded for 148.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Primoris is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 148.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Primoris Services is about 2818.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 148.24. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.8. Primoris Services last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primoris Services to cross-verify your projections.Primoris Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primoris Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primoris Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Primoris Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primoris Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IESC | IES Holdings | (12.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.82 | (6.90) | 19.47 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | 0.95 | 12 per month | 1.79 | 0.16 | 3.06 | (3.17) | 14.96 | |
| FLR | Fluor | 2.92 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (3.81) | 9.28 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | (1.25) | 12 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 3.80 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water | (0.37) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.02 | (2.16) | 6.90 | |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries | 0.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.43 | (2.80) | 7.39 | |
| VMI | Valmont Industries | 6.03 | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.43 | (2.28) | 5.99 | |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing | 3.46 | 7 per month | 1.56 | (0.01) | 2.84 | (2.63) | 9.75 | |
| AAON | AAON Inc | 1.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.40 | (5.87) | 14.22 | |
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | (2.10) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 3.52 | (2.20) | 10.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Primoris Services
For every potential investor in Primoris, whether a beginner or expert, Primoris Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Primoris Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Primoris. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Primoris Services' price trends.Primoris Services Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Primoris Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Primoris Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Primoris Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Primoris Services Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Primoris Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Primoris Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Primoris Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Primoris Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Primoris Services Risk Indicators
The analysis of Primoris Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Primoris Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primoris stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Variance | 9.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Primoris Services
The number of cover stories for Primoris Services depends on current market conditions and Primoris Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primoris Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primoris Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Primoris Services Short Properties
Primoris Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Primoris Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primoris Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primoris Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primoris Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 455.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primoris Services to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Primoris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Primoris Services guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Will Construction & Engineering sector continue expanding? Could Primoris diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primoris Services. Anticipated expansion of Primoris directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Primoris Services data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.617 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 4.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.321 |
Primoris Services's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Primoris's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Primoris Services' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Primoris Services' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Primoris Services' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Primoris Services should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Primoris Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.