PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PRLF Fund   173.20  1.60  0.93%   
Investors can use prediction functions to forecast PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's fund prices and determine the direction of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's share price is below 20 indicating that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC from the perspective of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PROCIMMO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PROCIMMO using various technical indicators. When you analyze PROCIMMO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL prices get older.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC on the next trading day is expected to be 173.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PROCIMMO Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Fund Forecast Pattern

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 172.54 and 173.86, respectively. We have considered PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
173.20
172.54
Downside
173.20
Expected Value
173.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8169
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.21
MADMean absolute deviation0.9167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors55.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
0.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
173.20
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Hype Timeline

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL is at this time traded for 173.20on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PROCIMMO is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.20. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's future price movements. Getting to know how PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PRLFPROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC 0.00 0 per month 0.58 (0.02) 1.17 (1.38) 3.38 
0P0000JLEDZurich Invest II 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.83) 0.11 (0.11) 0.57 
SCM14115 SWISSCOM 29 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VAL13VALORA HLDG OPEN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SNBKZSNB KASSAZINSSA 10J 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZKA12ZKB PERPETUAL VAR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SFPFSF Sustainable Property 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.03  1.30 (1.01) 14.32 
MOB1411875 MOBIMO 24 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DAE121125 DAETWYLER 18 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL

For every potential investor in PROCIMMO, whether a beginner or expert, PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PROCIMMO Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PROCIMMO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's price trends.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL fund market strength indicators, traders can identify PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL LEMANIC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL Risk Indicators

The analysis of PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting procimmo fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL

The number of cover stories for PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL depends on current market conditions and PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PROCIMMO RESIDENTIAL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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