Pearl Holdings Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PRLHU Stock  USD 11.25  0.06  0.54%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pearl Holdings Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.90. Pearl Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Pearl Holdings polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Pearl Holdings Acquisition as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Pearl Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pearl Holdings Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pearl Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pearl Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pearl Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pearl Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pearl Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pearl Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.60 and 11.79, respectively. We have considered Pearl Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.25
11.20
Expected Value
11.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pearl Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pearl Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4179
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0639
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors3.9007
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Pearl Holdings historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Pearl Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pearl Holdings Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6611.2511.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5411.1311.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pearl Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pearl Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pearl Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pearl Holdings Acqui.

Other Forecasting Options for Pearl Holdings

For every potential investor in Pearl, whether a beginner or expert, Pearl Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pearl Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pearl. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pearl Holdings' price trends.

Pearl Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pearl Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pearl Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pearl Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pearl Holdings Acqui Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pearl Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pearl Holdings' current price.

Pearl Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pearl Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pearl Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pearl Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pearl Holdings Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pearl Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pearl Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pearl Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pearl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Pearl Stock Analysis

When running Pearl Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Pearl Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pearl Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Pearl Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pearl Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pearl Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pearl Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.