Pro Real Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| PRV-UN Stock | CAD 6.44 0.01 0.16% |
Pro Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pro Real stock prices and determine the direction of Pro Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Pro Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Pro Real's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.646 | Wall Street Target Price 6.6875 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
Using Pro Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pro Real Estate from the perspective of Pro Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pro Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 6.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.38. Pro Real after-hype prediction price | CAD 6.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pro |
Pro Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pro Real Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pro Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 6.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pro Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pro Real Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pro Real | Pro Real Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pro Real Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pro Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pro Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.48 and 7.27, respectively. We have considered Pro Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pro Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pro Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5316 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0545 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3791 |
Predictive Modules for Pro Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pro Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pro Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pro Real After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pro Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pro Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pro Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pro Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pro Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pro Real's historical news coverage. Pro Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.55 and 7.35, respectively. We have considered Pro Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pro Real is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pro Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pro Real Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pro Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pro Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pro Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.44 | 6.45 | 0.16 |
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Pro Real Hype Timeline
Pro Real Estate is at this time traded for 6.44on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Pro is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Pro Real is about 205.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.38. The company reported the revenue of 99.21 M. Net Income was 2.38 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 62.02 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pro Real to cross-verify your projections.Pro Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pro Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pro Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Pro Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pro Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRT-UN | Morguard Real Estate | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.08 | 2.24 | (1.72) | 8.70 | |
| BTB-UN | BTB Real Estate | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.58 | 0.13 | 1.04 | (1.27) | 3.10 | |
| PLZ-UN | Plaza Retail REIT | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.54 | 0.09 | 1.44 | (1.17) | 3.75 | |
| FCD-UN | Firm Capital Property | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.67 | 0.04 | 1.19 | (1.35) | 3.40 | |
| D-UN | Dream Office Real | 0.03 | 5 per month | 1.92 | (0.02) | 2.69 | (2.88) | 9.21 | |
| APR-UN | Automotive Properties Real | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.48 | 0.05 | 0.94 | (1.05) | 3.08 | |
| MI-UN | Minto Apartment Real | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.43 | (1.19) | 27.71 | |
| WFC | Wall Financial | (0.54) | 6 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 2.15 | (1.56) | 8.02 | |
| MPC | Madison Pacific Properties | (4.18) | 5 per month | 1.21 | (0.03) | 3.56 | (2.94) | 11.38 | |
| MRD | Melcor Developments | 0.30 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1.73 | (0.98) | 3.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pro Real
For every potential investor in Pro, whether a beginner or expert, Pro Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pro Real's price trends.Pro Real Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pro Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pro Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pro Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pro Real Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pro Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pro Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pro Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pro Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 988.54 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Pro Real Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pro Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pro Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7387 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9025 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9709 | |||
| Variance | 0.9426 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8145 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pro Real
The number of cover stories for Pro Real depends on current market conditions and Pro Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pro Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pro Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pro Real Short Properties
Pro Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pro Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pro Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pro Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pro Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Pro Stock
Pro Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pro with respect to the benefits of owning Pro Real security.