Prosus NV Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PRX Stock   71,651  547.00  0.76%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prosus NV on the next trading day is expected to be 77,078 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,327 and the sum of the absolute errors of 202,948. Prosus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prosus NV stock prices and determine the direction of Prosus NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prosus NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Prosus NV price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Prosus NV Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prosus NV on the next trading day is expected to be 77,078 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,327, mean absolute percentage error of 15,038,030, and the sum of the absolute errors of 202,948.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prosus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prosus NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Prosus NV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Prosus NVProsus NV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Prosus NV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Prosus NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prosus NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77,076 and 77,079, respectively. We have considered Prosus NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71,651
77,076
Downside
77,078
Expected Value
77,079
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prosus NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prosus NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria134.6366
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3327.0146
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0464
SAESum of the absolute errors202947.8898
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Prosus NV historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Prosus NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosus NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71,64971,65171,653
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59,92759,92978,816
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
71,08674,63678,187
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Prosus NV

For every potential investor in Prosus, whether a beginner or expert, Prosus NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prosus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prosus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prosus NV's price trends.

Prosus NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prosus NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prosus NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prosus NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Prosus NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Prosus NV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Prosus NV's current price.

Prosus NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prosus NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prosus NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prosus NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prosus NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Prosus NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Prosus NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prosus NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prosus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Prosus Stock

Prosus NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosus with respect to the benefits of owning Prosus NV security.