Prasidha Aneka Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PSDN Stock | IDR 125.00 2.00 1.57% |
Prasidha Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Prasidha Aneka's share price is approaching 34 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prasidha Aneka, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Prasidha Aneka hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prasidha Aneka Niaga from the perspective of Prasidha Aneka response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prasidha Aneka Niaga on the next trading day is expected to be 132.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 685.36. Prasidha Aneka after-hype prediction price | IDR 125.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prasidha |
Prasidha Aneka Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prasidha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prasidha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prasidha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prasidha Aneka Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prasidha Aneka Niaga on the next trading day is expected to be 132.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.05, mean absolute percentage error of 185.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 685.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prasidha Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prasidha Aneka's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prasidha Aneka Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prasidha Aneka | Prasidha Aneka Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Prasidha Aneka Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prasidha Aneka's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prasidha Aneka's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.88 and 139.45, respectively. We have considered Prasidha Aneka's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prasidha Aneka stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prasidha Aneka stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.1734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.0543 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0875 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 685.3644 |
Predictive Modules for Prasidha Aneka
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prasidha Aneka Niaga. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prasidha Aneka After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prasidha Aneka at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prasidha Aneka or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prasidha Aneka, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prasidha Aneka Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prasidha Aneka's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prasidha Aneka's historical news coverage. Prasidha Aneka's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.83 and 132.17, respectively. We have considered Prasidha Aneka's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prasidha Aneka is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prasidha Aneka Niaga is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prasidha Aneka Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prasidha Aneka is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prasidha Aneka backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prasidha Aneka, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 7.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
125.00 | 125.00 | 0.00 |
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Prasidha Aneka Hype Timeline
Prasidha Aneka Niaga is at this time traded for 125.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Prasidha is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.54%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prasidha Aneka is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.00. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prasidha Aneka to cross-verify your projections.Prasidha Aneka Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prasidha Aneka's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prasidha Aneka's future price movements. Getting to know how Prasidha Aneka's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prasidha Aneka may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STAA | Sumber Tani Agung | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.07 | (4.78) | 14.75 | |
| AALI | Astra Agro Lestari | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.01 | (2.53) | 7.13 | |
| SMAR | Sinar Mas Agro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.18 | 0.06 | 4.52 | (2.69) | 26.90 | |
| DSNG | Dharma Satya Nusantara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.52 | (4.37) | 15.24 | |
| ULTJ | Ultra Jaya Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.05 | 3.53 | (2.61) | 9.71 | |
| TLDN | Teladan Prima Agro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.27 | (3.88) | 9.31 | |
| SGRO | Sampoerna Agro Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.32 | (3.32) | 11.80 | |
| STTP | Siantar Top Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 2.07 | (2.02) | 11.35 | |
| YUPI | Yupi Indo Jelly | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | (0.06) | 2.08 | (1.20) | 7.81 | |
| LSIP | Perusahaan Perkebunan London | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.82 | (2.71) | 12.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prasidha Aneka
For every potential investor in Prasidha, whether a beginner or expert, Prasidha Aneka's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prasidha Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prasidha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prasidha Aneka's price trends.Prasidha Aneka Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prasidha Aneka stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prasidha Aneka could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prasidha Aneka by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prasidha Aneka Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prasidha Aneka stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prasidha Aneka shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prasidha Aneka stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prasidha Aneka Niaga entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13395.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 127.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 126.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.65 |
Prasidha Aneka Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prasidha Aneka's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prasidha Aneka's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prasidha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.01 | |||
| Variance | 49.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prasidha Aneka
The number of cover stories for Prasidha Aneka depends on current market conditions and Prasidha Aneka's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prasidha Aneka is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prasidha Aneka's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prasidha Aneka Short Properties
Prasidha Aneka's future price predictability will typically decrease when Prasidha Aneka's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prasidha Aneka Niaga often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prasidha Aneka's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prasidha Aneka's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Prasidha Stock
Prasidha Aneka financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prasidha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prasidha with respect to the benefits of owning Prasidha Aneka security.