Petrolia Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PSE Stock   4.63  0.07  1.49%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrolia SE on the next trading day is expected to be 4.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.45. Petrolia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Petrolia's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Petrolia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Petrolia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Petrolia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Petrolia SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Petrolia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Petrolia SE from the perspective of Petrolia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrolia SE on the next trading day is expected to be 4.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.45.

Petrolia after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 4.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Petrolia to cross-verify your projections.

Petrolia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Petrolia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Petrolia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Petrolia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Petrolia is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Petrolia SE value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Petrolia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrolia SE on the next trading day is expected to be 4.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Petrolia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Petrolia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Petrolia Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PetroliaPetrolia Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Petrolia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Petrolia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Petrolia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.82 and 7.67, respectively. We have considered Petrolia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.63
4.74
Expected Value
7.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Petrolia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Petrolia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4943
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0878
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors5.4457
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Petrolia SE. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Petrolia. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Petrolia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petrolia SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.714.637.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.023.946.86
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Petrolia

For every potential investor in Petrolia, whether a beginner or expert, Petrolia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Petrolia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Petrolia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Petrolia's price trends.

Petrolia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Petrolia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Petrolia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Petrolia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Petrolia SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Petrolia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Petrolia's current price.

Petrolia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Petrolia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Petrolia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Petrolia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Petrolia SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Petrolia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Petrolia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Petrolia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting petrolia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Petrolia Stock

Petrolia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Petrolia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Petrolia with respect to the benefits of owning Petrolia security.