Performance Shipping Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PSHG Stock  USD 1.85  0.02  1.07%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Performance Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49. Performance Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Performance Shipping's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Performance Shipping's Asset Turnover is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. . The Performance Shipping's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 37.3 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (11.7 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Performance Shipping is based on an artificially constructed time series of Performance Shipping daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Performance Shipping 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Performance Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Performance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Performance Shipping's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Performance Shipping Stock Forecast Pattern

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Performance Shipping Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Performance Shipping's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Performance Shipping's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 3.96, respectively. We have considered Performance Shipping's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.85
1.91
Expected Value
3.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Performance Shipping stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Performance Shipping stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.851
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0063
MADMean absolute deviation0.0471
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0241
SAESum of the absolute errors2.4938
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Performance Shipping 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Performance Shipping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Performance Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.853.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.603.65
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Performance Shipping. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Performance Shipping's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Performance Shipping's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Performance Shipping.

Other Forecasting Options for Performance Shipping

For every potential investor in Performance, whether a beginner or expert, Performance Shipping's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Performance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Performance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Performance Shipping's price trends.

Performance Shipping Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Performance Shipping stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Performance Shipping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Performance Shipping by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Performance Shipping Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Performance Shipping's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Performance Shipping's current price.

Performance Shipping Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Performance Shipping stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Performance Shipping shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Performance Shipping stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Performance Shipping entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Performance Shipping Risk Indicators

The analysis of Performance Shipping's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Performance Shipping's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting performance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Performance Shipping is a strong investment it is important to analyze Performance Shipping's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Performance Shipping's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Performance Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Performance Shipping to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Performance Stock please use our How to Invest in Performance Shipping guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Performance Shipping. If investors know Performance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Performance Shipping listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.179
Earnings Share
1.53
Revenue Per Share
7.294
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
0.0833
The market value of Performance Shipping is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Performance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Performance Shipping's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Performance Shipping's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Performance Shipping's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Performance Shipping's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Performance Shipping's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Performance Shipping is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Performance Shipping's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.