PSP Swiss Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PSPN Stock | CHF 165.50 3.00 1.85% |
PSP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of PSP Swiss' share price is above 70 at this time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling PSP, making its price go up or down. Momentum 76
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.004 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1981 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3293 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6097 | Wall Street Target Price 149.5 |
Using PSP Swiss hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PSP Swiss Property from the perspective of PSP Swiss response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PSP Swiss Property on the next trading day is expected to be 165.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.05. PSP Swiss after-hype prediction price | CHF 166.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PSP |
PSP Swiss Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PSP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PSP using various technical indicators. When you analyze PSP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PSP Swiss Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PSP Swiss Property on the next trading day is expected to be 165.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 2.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PSP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PSP Swiss' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PSP Swiss Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PSP Swiss | PSP Swiss Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PSP Swiss Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PSP Swiss' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PSP Swiss' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 164.58 and 166.42, respectively. We have considered PSP Swiss' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PSP Swiss stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PSP Swiss stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3998 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5941 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1534 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.05 |
Predictive Modules for PSP Swiss
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSP Swiss Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PSP Swiss After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PSP Swiss at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PSP Swiss or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PSP Swiss, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PSP Swiss Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PSP Swiss' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PSP Swiss' historical news coverage. PSP Swiss' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 165.12 and 166.98, respectively. We have considered PSP Swiss' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PSP Swiss is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PSP Swiss Property is based on 3 months time horizon.
PSP Swiss Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PSP Swiss is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PSP Swiss backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PSP Swiss, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 0.92 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
165.50 | 166.05 | 0.33 |
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PSP Swiss Hype Timeline
PSP Swiss Property is at this time traded for 165.50on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. PSP is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 166.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 43.81%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on PSP Swiss is about 1533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 165.48. The company reported the revenue of 368.14 M. Net Income was 374.95 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 339.54 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PSP Swiss to cross-verify your projections.PSP Swiss Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PSP Swiss' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PSP Swiss' future price movements. Getting to know how PSP Swiss' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PSP Swiss may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOBN | Mobimo Hldg | (2.50) | 5 per month | 0.51 | 0.09 | 1.69 | (1.20) | 3.73 | |
| SPSN | Swiss Prime Site | (3.30) | 5 per month | 0.35 | 0.23 | 2.03 | (0.79) | 5.15 | |
| ALLN | Allreal Holding | (1.00) | 5 per month | 0.26 | 0.18 | 1.72 | (0.95) | 3.70 | |
| HIAG | HIAG Immobilien Holding | (0.60) | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.11 | 2.23 | (1.56) | 4.70 | |
| ZUGN | Zug Estates Holding | 20.00 | 4 per month | 1.06 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (1.85) | 6.29 | |
| NREN | Novavest Real Estate | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.01) | 1.22 | (0.76) | 2.53 | |
| PLAN | Plazza AG | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.74 | (0.46) | 2.35 | |
| IREN | Investis Holding SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | 0.16 | 1.44 | (0.95) | 3.62 | |
| ISN | Intershop Holding AG | (2.80) | 1 per month | 0.84 | 0.01 | 1.73 | (1.53) | 4.53 | |
| WARN | Warteck Invest | (10.00) | 3 per month | 0.29 | (0.07) | 1.04 | (0.76) | 2.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for PSP Swiss
For every potential investor in PSP, whether a beginner or expert, PSP Swiss' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PSP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PSP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PSP Swiss' price trends.PSP Swiss Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PSP Swiss stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PSP Swiss could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PSP Swiss by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PSP Swiss Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PSP Swiss stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PSP Swiss shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PSP Swiss stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PSP Swiss Property entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PSP Swiss Risk Indicators
The analysis of PSP Swiss' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PSP Swiss' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting psp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6662 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2487 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8977 | |||
| Variance | 0.8059 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4959 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0619 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PSP Swiss
The number of cover stories for PSP Swiss depends on current market conditions and PSP Swiss' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PSP Swiss is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PSP Swiss' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PSP Swiss Short Properties
PSP Swiss' future price predictability will typically decrease when PSP Swiss' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PSP Swiss Property often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PSP Swiss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PSP Swiss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57 M |
Additional Tools for PSP Stock Analysis
When running PSP Swiss' price analysis, check to measure PSP Swiss' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PSP Swiss is operating at the current time. Most of PSP Swiss' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PSP Swiss' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PSP Swiss' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PSP Swiss to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.