Valiant Eagle Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PSRU Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Valiant Eagle on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000094 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000021 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Valiant Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Valiant Eagle's share price is at 51 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Valiant Eagle, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Valiant Eagle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valiant Eagle from the perspective of Valiant Eagle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Valiant Eagle on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000094 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000021 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Valiant Eagle after-hype prediction price | USD 9.9E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Valiant |
Valiant Eagle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valiant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valiant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valiant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Valiant Eagle Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Valiant Eagle on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000094 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000021, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Valiant Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Valiant Eagle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Valiant Eagle Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Valiant Eagle Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Valiant Eagle's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Valiant Eagle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 301.96, respectively. We have considered Valiant Eagle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Valiant Eagle pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Valiant Eagle pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.8811 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0012 |
Predictive Modules for Valiant Eagle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valiant Eagle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Valiant Eagle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valiant Eagle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valiant Eagle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Valiant Eagle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valiant Eagle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valiant Eagle's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valiant Eagle's historical news coverage. Valiant Eagle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Valiant Eagle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valiant Eagle is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valiant Eagle is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valiant Eagle Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Valiant Eagle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valiant Eagle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valiant Eagle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
88.71 | 301.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.000099 | 1.11 |
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Valiant Eagle Hype Timeline
Valiant Eagle is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Valiant is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.9E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 88.71%. The volatility of related hype on Valiant Eagle is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.28. Valiant Eagle last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2020. The entity had 1:5000 split on the 12th of February 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valiant Eagle to cross-verify your projections.Valiant Eagle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valiant Eagle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valiant Eagle's future price movements. Getting to know how Valiant Eagle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valiant Eagle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MEMI | Miracle Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TMGI | Marquie Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.11 | 0.07 | 22.67 | (20.00) | 88.97 | |
| UAMA | United American Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STCO | StratoComm | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IFLM | Independent Film Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CWIR | Central Wireless | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZONX | Zonzia Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDGC | Mediag3 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DTTVY | Dish TV India | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNPW | Sun Pacific Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.78 | 0.06 | 15.38 | (44.00) | 237.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Valiant Eagle
For every potential investor in Valiant, whether a beginner or expert, Valiant Eagle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Valiant Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Valiant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Valiant Eagle's price trends.Valiant Eagle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valiant Eagle pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valiant Eagle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valiant Eagle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valiant Eagle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valiant Eagle pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valiant Eagle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valiant Eagle pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Valiant Eagle entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 9223372 T | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.13 |
Valiant Eagle Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valiant Eagle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valiant Eagle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valiant pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 176.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 301.96 | |||
| Variance | 91181.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Valiant Eagle
The number of cover stories for Valiant Eagle depends on current market conditions and Valiant Eagle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valiant Eagle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valiant Eagle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Valiant Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Valiant Eagle's price analysis, check to measure Valiant Eagle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valiant Eagle is operating at the current time. Most of Valiant Eagle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valiant Eagle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valiant Eagle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valiant Eagle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.