Passur Aerospace Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

PSSR Stock  USD 0.15  0.02  15.38%   
Passur Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Passur Aerospace's share price is above 80 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Passur Aerospace's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Passur Aerospace and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Passur Aerospace's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Passur Aerospace, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Passur Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Passur Aerospace from the perspective of Passur Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Passur Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.

Passur Aerospace after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Passur Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.

Passur Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Passur price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Passur using various technical indicators. When you analyze Passur charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Passur Aerospace price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Passur Aerospace Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Passur Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000084, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Passur Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Passur Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Passur Aerospace Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Passur Aerospace  Passur Aerospace Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Passur Aerospace Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Passur Aerospace's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Passur Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.02, respectively. We have considered Passur Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.15
0.14
Expected Value
11.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Passur Aerospace pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Passur Aerospace pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7257
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0075
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0848
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4585
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Passur Aerospace historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Passur Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Passur Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Passur Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1310.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1110.95
Details

Passur Aerospace After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Passur Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Passur Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Passur Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Passur Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Passur Aerospace's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Passur Aerospace's historical news coverage. Passur Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 10.97, respectively. We have considered Passur Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.15
0.13
After-hype Price
10.97
Upside
Passur Aerospace is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Passur Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.

Passur Aerospace Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Passur Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Passur Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Passur Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.51 
10.88
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.15
0.13
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Passur Aerospace Hype Timeline

Passur Aerospace is at this time traded for 0.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Passur is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Passur Aerospace is about 1.088E8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.23. Passur Aerospace had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 7th of December 1984. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Passur Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.

Passur Aerospace Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Passur Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Passur Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Passur Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Passur Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LPPILEEP Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PURAPuration 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
INCCInternational Consolidated Companies 0.00 0 per month 11.68  0.02  27.95 (25.86) 79.40 
SFBESino Bioenergy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  66.67 
MSBNChina Electronics Holdings(0.0001)1 per month 0.00  0.17  0.00  0.00  100.00 
ECOXEco Innovation Group 0.00 0 per month 16.43  0.17  100.00 (33.33) 257.14 
NVGTNovagant Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GDSIGlobal Digital Soltn 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DSUSDrone Services USA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
USLGUS Lighting Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  90.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Passur Aerospace

For every potential investor in Passur, whether a beginner or expert, Passur Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Passur Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Passur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Passur Aerospace's price trends.

Passur Aerospace Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Passur Aerospace pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Passur Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Passur Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Passur Aerospace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Passur Aerospace pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Passur Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Passur Aerospace pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Passur Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Passur Aerospace Risk Indicators

The analysis of Passur Aerospace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Passur Aerospace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting passur pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Passur Aerospace

The number of cover stories for Passur Aerospace depends on current market conditions and Passur Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Passur Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Passur Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Passur Aerospace Short Properties

Passur Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when Passur Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Passur Aerospace often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Passur Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Passur Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M

Additional Tools for Passur Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Passur Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Passur Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Passur Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Passur Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Passur Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Passur Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Passur Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.