PeakShares Sector Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| PSTR Etf | USD 29.39 0.00 0.00% |
PeakShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of PeakShares Sector's share price is at 58 indicating that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PeakShares Sector, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using PeakShares Sector hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PeakShares Sector Rotation from the perspective of PeakShares Sector response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PeakShares Sector Rotation on the next trading day is expected to be 29.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.61. PeakShares Sector after-hype prediction price | USD 29.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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PeakShares Sector Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PeakShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PeakShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze PeakShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PeakShares Sector Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PeakShares Sector Rotation on the next trading day is expected to be 29.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PeakShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PeakShares Sector's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PeakShares Sector Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PeakShares Sector | PeakShares Sector Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PeakShares Sector Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PeakShares Sector's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PeakShares Sector's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.79 and 29.74, respectively. We have considered PeakShares Sector's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PeakShares Sector etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PeakShares Sector etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5267 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1247 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.6079 |
Predictive Modules for PeakShares Sector
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PeakShares Sector. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PeakShares Sector's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PeakShares Sector After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PeakShares Sector at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PeakShares Sector or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of PeakShares Sector, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PeakShares Sector Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PeakShares Sector's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PeakShares Sector's historical news coverage. PeakShares Sector's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.92 and 29.86, respectively. We have considered PeakShares Sector's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PeakShares Sector is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PeakShares Sector is based on 3 months time horizon.
PeakShares Sector Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as PeakShares Sector is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PeakShares Sector backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PeakShares Sector, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.39 | 29.39 | 0.00 |
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PeakShares Sector Hype Timeline
PeakShares Sector is at this time traded for 29.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PeakShares is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on PeakShares Sector is about 2937.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.39. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PeakShares Sector recorded a loss per share of 13.34. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the January 5, 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PeakShares Sector to cross-verify your projections.PeakShares Sector Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PeakShares Sector's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PeakShares Sector's future price movements. Getting to know how PeakShares Sector's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PeakShares Sector may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INRO | BlackRock Industry Rotation | 0.23 | 3 per month | 0.88 | (0.05) | 1.10 | (1.28) | 3.92 | |
| FDAT | Tactical Advantage ETF | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.78 | (0.07) | 1.07 | (1.19) | 2.96 | |
| MARB | First Trust Vivaldi | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.14 | (0.09) | 0.49 | (0.29) | 3.01 | |
| KEMQ | KraneShares Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.03 | 2.75 | (1.95) | 6.49 | |
| CARZ | First Trust S Network | 0.40 | 3 per month | 1.32 | 0.09 | 2.53 | (2.17) | 6.05 | |
| EAOA | iShares ESG Aware | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.59 | (0.04) | 0.88 | (1.02) | 2.91 | |
| SPXV | ProShares SP 500 | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.89 | (0.05) | 1.23 | (1.39) | 4.09 | |
| THTA | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.13 | 1 per month | 0.44 | (0.01) | 0.96 | (0.98) | 3.66 | |
| OZEM | Roundhill GLP 1 Weight | (0.36) | 2 per month | 0.72 | 0.26 | 2.38 | (1.80) | 7.31 | |
| PPTY | US Diversified Real | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.85 | (0.1) | 1.40 | (1.04) | 3.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for PeakShares Sector
For every potential investor in PeakShares, whether a beginner or expert, PeakShares Sector's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PeakShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PeakShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PeakShares Sector's price trends.PeakShares Sector Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PeakShares Sector etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PeakShares Sector could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PeakShares Sector by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PeakShares Sector Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PeakShares Sector etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PeakShares Sector shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PeakShares Sector etf market strength indicators, traders can identify PeakShares Sector Rotation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0034 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.38 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.8 |
PeakShares Sector Risk Indicators
The analysis of PeakShares Sector's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PeakShares Sector's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peakshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3702 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3965 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4659 | |||
| Variance | 0.2171 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2609 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1572 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PeakShares Sector
The number of cover stories for PeakShares Sector depends on current market conditions and PeakShares Sector's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PeakShares Sector is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PeakShares Sector's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PeakShares Sector to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
The market value of PeakShares Sector is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PeakShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PeakShares Sector's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PeakShares Sector's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PeakShares Sector's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PeakShares Sector's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PeakShares Sector's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PeakShares Sector is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PeakShares Sector's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.