Premier Technology Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

PT Stock  THB 9.70  0.05  0.51%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Premier Technology Public on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.91. Premier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Premier Technology Public is based on a synthetically constructed Premier Technologydaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Premier Technology 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Premier Technology Public on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Premier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Premier Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Premier Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Premier Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Premier Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Premier Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.1 and 136.40, respectively. We have considered Premier Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.70
9.60
Expected Value
136.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Premier Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Premier Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.2431
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0593
MADMean absolute deviation0.1441
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9075
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Premier Technology Public 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Premier Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Technology Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.499.70979.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.316.13976.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Premier Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Premier Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Premier Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Premier Technology Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Premier Technology

For every potential investor in Premier, whether a beginner or expert, Premier Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Premier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Premier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Premier Technology's price trends.

Premier Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Premier Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Premier Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Premier Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Premier Technology Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Premier Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Premier Technology's current price.

Premier Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Premier Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Premier Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Premier Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Premier Technology Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Premier Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Premier Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Premier Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting premier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Technology security.