Pintec Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PTDelisted Stock | USD 1.03 0.01 0.96% |
Pintec Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Pintec Technology's share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pintec Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pintec Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pintec Technology Holdings from the perspective of Pintec Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pintec Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57. Pintec Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 1.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pintec |
Pintec Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pintec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pintec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pintec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pintec Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pintec Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pintec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pintec Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pintec Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pintec Technology | Pintec Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pintec Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pintec Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pintec Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.85, respectively. We have considered Pintec Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pintec Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pintec Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9486 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0257 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.5669 |
Predictive Modules for Pintec Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pintec Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pintec Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pintec Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pintec Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pintec Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pintec Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pintec Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pintec Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pintec Technology's historical news coverage. Pintec Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.80, respectively. We have considered Pintec Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pintec Technology is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pintec Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pintec Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pintec Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pintec Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pintec Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 4.81 | 0.01 | 0.69 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.03 | 1.03 | 0.00 |
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Pintec Technology Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Pintec Technology is listed for 1.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.69. Pintec is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pintec Technology is about 195.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.72. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.1. Pintec Technology last dividend was issued on the May 27, 2014. The entity had 1:5 split on the 16th of May 2022. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pintec Technology to cross-verify your projections.Pintec Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pintec Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pintec Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Pintec Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pintec Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DXF | Eason Technology Limited | 10.83 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.80 | (11.03) | 57.98 | |
| NISN | Nisun International Enterprise | 0.22 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.50 | (11.02) | 51.13 | |
| SNTG | Sentage Holdings | 8.50 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.76 | (6.98) | 31.19 | |
| AIHS | Senmiao Technology | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.65 | (8.15) | 27.66 | |
| RETO | ReTo Eco Solutions | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 15.13 | (17.24) | 59.40 | |
| PHI | PLDT Inc ADR | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.74 | 0.15 | 2.33 | (1.68) | 7.29 | |
| PETZ | TDH Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.93 | 0.02 | 4.04 | (2.97) | 12.06 | |
| SXTC | China SXT Pharmaceuticals | (0.05) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 14.58 | (16.25) | 106.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pintec Technology
For every potential investor in Pintec, whether a beginner or expert, Pintec Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pintec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pintec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pintec Technology's price trends.Pintec Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pintec Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pintec Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pintec Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pintec Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pintec Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pintec Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pintec Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pintec Technology Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pintec Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pintec Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pintec Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pintec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Variance | 22.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pintec Technology
The number of cover stories for Pintec Technology depends on current market conditions and Pintec Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pintec Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pintec Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Pintec Technology Short Properties
Pintec Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pintec Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pintec Technology Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pintec Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pintec Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 452.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pintec Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in Pintec Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Pintec Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pintec Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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