Pheton Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Pheton Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pheton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pheton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pheton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Pheton Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Pheton Holdings Ltd are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Pheton Holdings prices get older.

Pheton Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pheton Holdings Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.

Pheton Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pheton Holdings Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Pheton Holdings Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pheton Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pheton Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Pheton Holdings Ltd forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Pheton Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pheton Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pheton Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.03 0.50 15.47 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.02 0.46 15.43 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.31 0.51 0.70 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pheton Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pheton Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pheton Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pheton Holdings.

Pheton Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Pheton Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Pheton Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Pheton Holdings Hype Timeline

Pheton Holdings is at this time traded for 0.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Pheton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Pheton Holdings is about 31187.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.46. Pheton Holdings generates negative cash flow from operationsGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pheton Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Pheton Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Pheton Holdings

For every potential investor in Pheton, whether a beginner or expert, Pheton Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pheton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pheton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pheton Holdings' price trends.

Pheton Holdings Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Pheton Holdings Market Strength Events

Pheton Holdings Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Pheton Holdings

Other Macroaxis Stories

Pheton Holdings Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Pheton Stock