Palatin Technologies Stock Forward View
| PTN Stock | USD 17.25 2.54 17.27% |
Palatin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Palatin Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Palatin Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Palatin Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of today, The RSI of Palatin Technologies' share price is at 54 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Palatin Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.17) | Wall Street Target Price 51.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.17) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.80) |
Using Palatin Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Palatin Technologies from the perspective of Palatin Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Palatin Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 13.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.82. Palatin Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 17.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Palatin Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Palatin Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Palatin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Palatin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Palatin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Palatin Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Palatin Technologies' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1996-06-30 | Previous Quarter 2.6 M | Current Value 1.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 20.7 M |
Palatin Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Palatin Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 13.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75, mean absolute percentage error of 5.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Palatin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Palatin Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Palatin Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Palatin Technologies | Palatin Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Palatin Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Palatin Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Palatin Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.39 and 26.88, respectively. We have considered Palatin Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Palatin Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Palatin Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7656 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7511 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0996 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 106.8196 |
Predictive Modules for Palatin Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palatin Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palatin Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Palatin Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Palatin Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Palatin Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Palatin Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Palatin Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Palatin Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Palatin Technologies' historical news coverage. Palatin Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.07 and 30.43, respectively. We have considered Palatin Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Palatin Technologies is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Palatin Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Palatin Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Palatin Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Palatin Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Palatin Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.40 | 13.25 | 19.68 | 0.10 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.25 | 17.25 | 0.00 |
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Palatin Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Palatin Technologies is traded for 17.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 19.68, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Palatin is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 161.59%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Palatin Technologies is about 32317.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.15. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.18. Palatin Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:50 split on the 12th of August 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Palatin Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Palatin Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Palatin Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Palatin Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Palatin Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Palatin Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BPTS | Biophytis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EIGRQ | Eiger BioPharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NTBL | Notable Labs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NOVN | Novan Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARAV | Aravive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FRES | Fresh2 Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFMD | Affimed NV | 0.02 | 5 per month | 14.97 | 0.02 | 10.53 | (13.54) | 108.58 | |
| QTTB | Q32 Bio | (0.43) | 7 per month | 4.68 | 0.1 | 7.51 | (8.54) | 85.16 | |
| MTP | Midatech Pharma PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VBIV | VBI Vaccines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Palatin Technologies
For every potential investor in Palatin, whether a beginner or expert, Palatin Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Palatin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Palatin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Palatin Technologies' price trends.Palatin Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Palatin Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Palatin Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Palatin Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Palatin Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Palatin Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Palatin Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Palatin Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Palatin Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Palatin Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Palatin Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Palatin Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting palatin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.85 | |||
| Variance | 165.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 64.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 52.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Palatin Technologies
The number of cover stories for Palatin Technologies depends on current market conditions and Palatin Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Palatin Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Palatin Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Palatin Technologies Short Properties
Palatin Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Palatin Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Palatin Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Palatin Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palatin Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 538.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Palatin Technologies to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Palatin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Palatin Technologies guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Palatin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Palatin Technologies. Anticipated expansion of Palatin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Palatin Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (8.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.80) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Palatin Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Palatin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Palatin Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Palatin Technologies' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Palatin Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Palatin Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Palatin Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Palatin Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Palatin Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.