P2 Solar Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PTOS Stock  USD 0.01  0  20.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of P2 Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. PTOS Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of P2 Solar's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling P2 Solar, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of P2 Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of P2 Solar and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from P2 Solar's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with P2 Solar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using P2 Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of P2 Solar from the perspective of P2 Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of P2 Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.

P2 Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of P2 Solar to cross-verify your projections.

P2 Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PTOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PTOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze PTOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
P2 Solar simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for P2 Solar are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as P2 Solar prices get older.

P2 Solar Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of P2 Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000171, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PTOS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that P2 Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

P2 Solar Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest P2 SolarP2 Solar Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

P2 Solar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting P2 Solar's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. P2 Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 12.24, respectively. We have considered P2 Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
12.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of P2 Solar pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent P2 Solar pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9948
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0494
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0284
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting P2 Solar forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent P2 Solar observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for P2 Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as P2 Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0112.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0112.14
Details

P2 Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of P2 Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in P2 Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of P2 Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

P2 Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting P2 Solar's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on P2 Solar's historical news coverage. P2 Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.14, respectively. We have considered P2 Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
12.14
Upside
P2 Solar is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of P2 Solar is based on 3 months time horizon.

P2 Solar Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as P2 Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading P2 Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with P2 Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
12.23
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

P2 Solar Hype Timeline

P2 Solar is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PTOS is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on P2 Solar is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. P2 Solar had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of P2 Solar to cross-verify your projections.

P2 Solar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to P2 Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict P2 Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how P2 Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how P2 Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for P2 Solar

For every potential investor in PTOS, whether a beginner or expert, P2 Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PTOS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PTOS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying P2 Solar's price trends.

P2 Solar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with P2 Solar pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of P2 Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing P2 Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

P2 Solar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how P2 Solar pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading P2 Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying P2 Solar pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify P2 Solar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

P2 Solar Risk Indicators

The analysis of P2 Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in P2 Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ptos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for P2 Solar

The number of cover stories for P2 Solar depends on current market conditions and P2 Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that P2 Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about P2 Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for PTOS Pink Sheet Analysis

When running P2 Solar's price analysis, check to measure P2 Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy P2 Solar is operating at the current time. Most of P2 Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of P2 Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move P2 Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of P2 Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.