PRIMETIME PROPERTY Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PTPH-EQU   1.61  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast PRIMETIME PROPERTY's stock prices and determine the direction of PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
PRIMETIME PROPERTY simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as PRIMETIME PROPERTY prices get older.

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000179, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PRIMETIME Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PRIMETIME PROPERTY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Stock Forecast Pattern

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PRIMETIME PROPERTY's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PRIMETIME PROPERTY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.53 and 1.69, respectively. We have considered PRIMETIME PROPERTY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.61
1.61
Expected Value
1.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PRIMETIME PROPERTY stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PRIMETIME PROPERTY stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.6854
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.01
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent PRIMETIME PROPERTY observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for PRIMETIME PROPERTY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PRIMETIME PROPERTY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for PRIMETIME PROPERTY

For every potential investor in PRIMETIME, whether a beginner or expert, PRIMETIME PROPERTY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PRIMETIME Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PRIMETIME. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PRIMETIME PROPERTY's price trends.

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PRIMETIME PROPERTY stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PRIMETIME PROPERTY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PRIMETIME PROPERTY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's current price.

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PRIMETIME PROPERTY stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PRIMETIME PROPERTY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PRIMETIME PROPERTY stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PRIMETIME PROPERTY HOLDINGS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PRIMETIME PROPERTY Risk Indicators

The analysis of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PRIMETIME PROPERTY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primetime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for PRIMETIME Stock Analysis

When running PRIMETIME PROPERTY's price analysis, check to measure PRIMETIME PROPERTY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PRIMETIME PROPERTY is operating at the current time. Most of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PRIMETIME PROPERTY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PRIMETIME PROPERTY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PRIMETIME PROPERTY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.