Promotora Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

PUODY Stock  USD 303.11  12.97  4.47%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Promotora y Operadora on the next trading day is expected to be 306.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.69. Promotora Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Promotora's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Promotora's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Promotora y Operadora, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Promotora hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Promotora y Operadora from the perspective of Promotora response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Promotora y Operadora on the next trading day is expected to be 306.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.69.

Promotora after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 303.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Promotora to cross-verify your projections.

Promotora Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Promotora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Promotora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Promotora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Promotora price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Promotora Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Promotora y Operadora on the next trading day is expected to be 306.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.86, mean absolute percentage error of 49.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Promotora Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Promotora's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Promotora Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest PromotoraPromotora Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Promotora Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Promotora's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Promotora's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 304.59 and 309.18, respectively. We have considered Promotora's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
303.11
304.59
Downside
306.88
Expected Value
309.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Promotora pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Promotora pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.0123
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.8638
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors357.6898
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Promotora y Operadora historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Promotora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Promotora y Operadora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Promotora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
300.87303.11305.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
242.20244.44333.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
276.10293.48310.86
Details

Promotora After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Promotora at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Promotora or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Promotora, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Promotora Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Promotora's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Promotora's historical news coverage. Promotora's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 300.87 and 305.35, respectively. We have considered Promotora's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
303.11
300.87
Downside
303.11
After-hype Price
305.35
Upside
Promotora is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Promotora y Operadora is based on 3 months time horizon.

Promotora Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Promotora is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Promotora backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Promotora, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.29
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
303.11
303.11
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Promotora Hype Timeline

Promotora y Operadora is at this time traded for 303.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Promotora is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Promotora is about 8481.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 303.10. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.38. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Promotora y Operadora recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 30th of May 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Promotora to cross-verify your projections.

Promotora Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Promotora's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Promotora's future price movements. Getting to know how Promotora's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Promotora may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SHMUFShimizu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  51.64 
NWSZFNWS Holdings Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  33.33 
BFLBFBilfinger SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  15.63 
IMPJYWebuild SpA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.26 (0.87) 14.67 
BAFBFBalfour Beatty plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  1.28 (0.21) 9.54 
SENGFSINOPEC Engineering Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARCVFArcadis NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.96 (4.20) 20.66 
BFLBYBilfinger SE ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.87  0.1  6.64 (5.22) 26.92 
SNOTFSinotrans Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  8.51 
BJINFBeijing Enterprises Holdings(0.27)3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Promotora

For every potential investor in Promotora, whether a beginner or expert, Promotora's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Promotora Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Promotora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Promotora's price trends.

Promotora Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Promotora pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Promotora could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Promotora by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Promotora Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Promotora pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Promotora shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Promotora pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Promotora y Operadora entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Promotora Risk Indicators

The analysis of Promotora's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Promotora's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting promotora pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Promotora

The number of cover stories for Promotora depends on current market conditions and Promotora's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Promotora is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Promotora's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Promotora Short Properties

Promotora's future price predictability will typically decrease when Promotora's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Promotora y Operadora often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Promotora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Promotora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.4 B

Additional Tools for Promotora Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Promotora's price analysis, check to measure Promotora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Promotora is operating at the current time. Most of Promotora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Promotora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Promotora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Promotora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.