Pacific Valley Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

Pacific Valley Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Pacific Valley works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Pacific Valley Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Valley Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14.

Pacific Valley Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Pacific Valley Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Valley pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Valley pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Pacific Valley Bank prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Pacific Valley Bank trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Pacific Valley observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pacific Valley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Valley Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 9.74 10.75 11.76 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 7.81 8.82 11.83 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 9.49 10.32 11.15 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Valley. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Valley's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Valley's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Valley Bank.

Pacific Valley After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Pacific Valley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Pacific Valley Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Pacific Valley Hype Timeline

Pacific Valley Bank is at this time traded for 10.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Valley is about 753.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Pacific Valley Bank had 11:10 split on the 13th of July 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Valley to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Valley Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Valley

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Valley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Valley's price trends.

Pacific Valley Related Equities

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Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet