RMS Mezzanine Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| PVT Stock | CZK 1.40 0.10 6.67% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RMS Mezzanine AS on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. RMS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of RMS Mezzanine's share price is approaching 41 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RMS Mezzanine, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RMS Mezzanine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RMS Mezzanine AS from the perspective of RMS Mezzanine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RMS Mezzanine AS on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. RMS Mezzanine after-hype prediction price | CZK 1.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RMS |
RMS Mezzanine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RMS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RMS using various technical indicators. When you analyze RMS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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RMS Mezzanine Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RMS Mezzanine AS on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RMS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RMS Mezzanine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RMS Mezzanine Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RMS Mezzanine | RMS Mezzanine Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RMS Mezzanine Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RMS Mezzanine's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RMS Mezzanine's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.31, respectively. We have considered RMS Mezzanine's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RMS Mezzanine stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RMS Mezzanine stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0183 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.08 |
Predictive Modules for RMS Mezzanine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RMS Mezzanine AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RMS Mezzanine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RMS Mezzanine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RMS Mezzanine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RMS Mezzanine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RMS Mezzanine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RMS Mezzanine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RMS Mezzanine's historical news coverage. RMS Mezzanine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 4.31, respectively. We have considered RMS Mezzanine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RMS Mezzanine is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RMS Mezzanine AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
RMS Mezzanine Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RMS Mezzanine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RMS Mezzanine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RMS Mezzanine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
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RMS Mezzanine Hype Timeline
RMS Mezzanine AS is at this time traded for 1.40on Prague Stock Exchange of Czech Republic. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RMS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on RMS Mezzanine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RMS Mezzanine AS last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2004. The entity had 1000:1 split on the 24th of January 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RMS Mezzanine to cross-verify your projections.RMS Mezzanine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RMS Mezzanine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RMS Mezzanine's future price movements. Getting to know how RMS Mezzanine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RMS Mezzanine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KOMB | Komercni Banka AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.14 | 1.97 | (1.12) | 5.24 | |
| MONET | Moneta Money Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.12 | 1.69 | (1.57) | 4.90 | |
| VIG | Vienna Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.25 | 5.91 | (2.01) | 12.17 | |
| RBI | Raiffeisen Bank International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.18 | 4.89 | (2.62) | 9.32 | |
| JTINA | JT ARCH INVESTMENTS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1.89 | (0.92) | 6.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for RMS Mezzanine
For every potential investor in RMS, whether a beginner or expert, RMS Mezzanine's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RMS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RMS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RMS Mezzanine's price trends.RMS Mezzanine Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RMS Mezzanine stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RMS Mezzanine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RMS Mezzanine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RMS Mezzanine Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RMS Mezzanine stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RMS Mezzanine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RMS Mezzanine stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RMS Mezzanine AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.92 |
RMS Mezzanine Risk Indicators
The analysis of RMS Mezzanine's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RMS Mezzanine's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RMS Mezzanine
The number of cover stories for RMS Mezzanine depends on current market conditions and RMS Mezzanine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RMS Mezzanine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RMS Mezzanine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for RMS Stock Analysis
When running RMS Mezzanine's price analysis, check to measure RMS Mezzanine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RMS Mezzanine is operating at the current time. Most of RMS Mezzanine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RMS Mezzanine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RMS Mezzanine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RMS Mezzanine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.