Powszechny Zaklad OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PWZYF Stock  USD 16.25  0.00  0.00%   
Powszechny OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Powszechny Zaklad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The value of RSI of Powszechny Zaklad's share price is above 80 indicating that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Powszechny Zaklad stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Powszechny Zaklad shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Powszechny Zaklad's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Powszechny Zaklad and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Powszechny Zaklad's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Powszechny Zaklad based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Powszechny Zaklad hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen from the perspective of Powszechny Zaklad response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen on the next trading day is expected to be 16.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.

Powszechny Zaklad after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Powszechny Zaklad to cross-verify your projections.

Powszechny Zaklad Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Powszechny price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Powszechny using various technical indicators. When you analyze Powszechny charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Powszechny Zaklad is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Powszechny Zaklad Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen on the next trading day is expected to be 16.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Powszechny OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Powszechny Zaklad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Powszechny Zaklad OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Powszechny Zaklad  Powszechny Zaklad Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Powszechny Zaklad Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Powszechny Zaklad's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Powszechny Zaklad's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.22 and 16.96, respectively. We have considered Powszechny Zaklad's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.25
16.09
Expected Value
16.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Powszechny Zaklad otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Powszechny Zaklad otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3632
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0978
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9635
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Powszechny Zaklad. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Powszechny Zaklad

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Powszechny Zaklad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Powszechny Zaklad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3816.2517.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1215.9816.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.2516.2516.25
Details

Powszechny Zaklad After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Powszechny Zaklad at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Powszechny Zaklad or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Powszechny Zaklad, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Powszechny Zaklad Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Powszechny Zaklad's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Powszechny Zaklad's historical news coverage. Powszechny Zaklad's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.38 and 17.12, respectively. We have considered Powszechny Zaklad's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.25
16.25
After-hype Price
17.12
Upside
Powszechny Zaklad is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Powszechny Zaklad is based on 3 months time horizon.

Powszechny Zaklad OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Powszechny Zaklad is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Powszechny Zaklad backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Powszechny Zaklad, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
0.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.25
16.25
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Powszechny Zaklad Hype Timeline

Powszechny Zaklad is at this time traded for 16.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Powszechny is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Powszechny Zaklad is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.25. About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Powszechny Zaklad had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Powszechny Zaklad to cross-verify your projections.

Powszechny Zaklad Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Powszechny Zaklad's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Powszechny Zaklad's future price movements. Getting to know how Powszechny Zaklad's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Powszechny Zaklad may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GEHDYGreat Eastern Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PBLOFPublic Bank Berhad 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PWFNFPower Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FXFLFFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GPFOYGrupo Financiero Inbursa 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IDTVFAB Industrivrden 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UNPLFUnipolSai Assicurazioni SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRFGFFairfax Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FNMAFederal National Mortgage 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 10.37 (9.82) 29.06 
INTAFIntact Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  5.50 

Other Forecasting Options for Powszechny Zaklad

For every potential investor in Powszechny, whether a beginner or expert, Powszechny Zaklad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Powszechny OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Powszechny. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Powszechny Zaklad's price trends.

Powszechny Zaklad Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Powszechny Zaklad otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Powszechny Zaklad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Powszechny Zaklad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Powszechny Zaklad Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Powszechny Zaklad otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Powszechny Zaklad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Powszechny Zaklad otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Powszechny Zaklad Risk Indicators

The analysis of Powszechny Zaklad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Powszechny Zaklad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting powszechny otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Powszechny Zaklad

The number of cover stories for Powszechny Zaklad depends on current market conditions and Powszechny Zaklad's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Powszechny Zaklad is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Powszechny Zaklad's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Powszechny OTC Stock

Powszechny Zaklad financial ratios help investors to determine whether Powszechny OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Powszechny with respect to the benefits of owning Powszechny Zaklad security.