Cref Core Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| QCBMPX Fund | USD 144.25 0.08 0.06% |
Cref Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cref Core's share price is at 54 indicating that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cref Core, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cref Core hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cref Core Bond from the perspective of Cref Core response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cref Core Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 144.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.20. Cref Core after-hype prediction price | USD 144.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cref |
Cref Core Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cref price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cref using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cref charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cref Core Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cref Core Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 144.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cref Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cref Core's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cref Core Fund Forecast Pattern
Cref Core Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cref Core's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cref Core's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 144.09 and 144.41, respectively. We have considered Cref Core's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cref Core fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cref Core fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4499 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0257 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2033 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.2 |
Predictive Modules for Cref Core
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cref Core Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cref Core Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Cref Core at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cref Core or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Cref Core, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cref Core Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Cref Core is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cref Core backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cref Core, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
144.25 | 144.25 | 0.00 |
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Cref Core Hype Timeline
Cref Core Bond is at this time traded for 144.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.08. Cref is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 37.21%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cref Core is about 1.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.17. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of Cref Core to check your projections.Cref Core Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cref Core's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cref Core's future price movements. Getting to know how Cref Core's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cref Core may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QGLDX | The Gold Bullion | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.86 | 0.26 | 2.63 | (1.84) | 7.15 | |
| XGGNX | Gamco Global Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | 0.28 | 1.93 | (0.95) | 3.42 | |
| FGDIX | Fidelity Advisor Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.24 | 4.53 | (4.20) | 9.73 | |
| FEGOX | First Eagle Gold | 0.37 | 1 per month | 1.40 | 0.28 | 4.03 | (3.27) | 9.39 | |
| UIPMX | Precious Metals And | (41.88) | 6 per month | 1.66 | 0.24 | 4.42 | (4.08) | 10.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cref Core
For every potential investor in Cref, whether a beginner or expert, Cref Core's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cref Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cref. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cref Core's price trends.Cref Core Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cref Core fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cref Core could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cref Core by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cref Core Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cref Core fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cref Core shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cref Core fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cref Core Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 144.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 144.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.9 |
Cref Core Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cref Core's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cref Core's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cref fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1316 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1538 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.164 | |||
| Variance | 0.0269 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0298 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0237 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cref Core
The number of cover stories for Cref Core depends on current market conditions and Cref Core's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cref Core is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cref Core's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Cref Fund
Cref Core financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cref Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cref with respect to the benefits of owning Cref Core security.
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