YieldMax Nasdaq Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

QDTY Etf   44.00  0.22  0.50%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of YieldMax Nasdaq 100 on the next trading day is expected to be 44.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.63. YieldMax Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for YieldMax Nasdaq works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

YieldMax Nasdaq Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of YieldMax Nasdaq 100 on the next trading day is expected to be 44.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YieldMax Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YieldMax Nasdaq's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YieldMax Nasdaq Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest YieldMax NasdaqYieldMax Nasdaq Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

YieldMax Nasdaq Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YieldMax Nasdaq's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YieldMax Nasdaq's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.96 and 45.16, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Nasdaq's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.00
44.06
Expected Value
45.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YieldMax Nasdaq etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YieldMax Nasdaq etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0276
MADMean absolute deviation0.3666
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0086
SAESum of the absolute errors21.63
When YieldMax Nasdaq 100 prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any YieldMax Nasdaq 100 trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent YieldMax Nasdaq observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for YieldMax Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YieldMax Nasdaq's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.0844.1845.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.7043.8044.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
41.2342.9444.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for YieldMax Nasdaq

For every potential investor in YieldMax, whether a beginner or expert, YieldMax Nasdaq's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YieldMax Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YieldMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YieldMax Nasdaq's price trends.

YieldMax Nasdaq Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YieldMax Nasdaq etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YieldMax Nasdaq could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YieldMax Nasdaq by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YieldMax Nasdaq 100 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of YieldMax Nasdaq's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of YieldMax Nasdaq's current price.

YieldMax Nasdaq Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YieldMax Nasdaq etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YieldMax Nasdaq shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YieldMax Nasdaq etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YieldMax Nasdaq 100 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YieldMax Nasdaq Risk Indicators

The analysis of YieldMax Nasdaq's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YieldMax Nasdaq's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yieldmax etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether YieldMax Nasdaq 100 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YieldMax Nasdaq's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yieldmax Nasdaq 100 Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yieldmax Nasdaq 100 Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Nasdaq to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
The market value of YieldMax Nasdaq 100 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax Nasdaq's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax Nasdaq's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax Nasdaq's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax Nasdaq's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.