QKL Stores Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| QKLS Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
QKL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of QKL Stores' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Using QKL Stores hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QKL Stores from the perspective of QKL Stores response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QKL Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. QKL Stores after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QKL Stores to cross-verify your projections. QKL Stores Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine QKL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QKL using various technical indicators. When you analyze QKL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
QKL Stores Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QKL Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QKL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QKL Stores' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QKL Stores Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QKL Stores | QKL Stores Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
QKL Stores Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QKL Stores' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QKL Stores' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered QKL Stores' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QKL Stores stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QKL Stores stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for QKL Stores
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QKL Stores. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.QKL Stores After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of QKL Stores at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QKL Stores or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QKL Stores, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
QKL Stores Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting QKL Stores' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QKL Stores' historical news coverage. QKL Stores' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered QKL Stores' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
QKL Stores is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QKL Stores is based on 3 months time horizon.
QKL Stores Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QKL Stores is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QKL Stores backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QKL Stores, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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QKL Stores Hype Timeline
QKL Stores is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. QKL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on QKL Stores is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. QKL Stores had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 5th of February 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QKL Stores to cross-verify your projections.QKL Stores Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to QKL Stores' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QKL Stores' future price movements. Getting to know how QKL Stores' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QKL Stores may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRMBQ | Crumbs Bake Shop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 350.00 | |
| KALRQ | Kalera Public Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| HBIS | Home Bistro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ANFIF | Amira Nature Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| URBF | Urban Barns Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YYYH | China Yanyuan Yuhui | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | |
| ABVG | Affinity Beverage Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| GBEN | Global Resource Ener | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PACV | Pacific Ventures Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for QKL Stores
For every potential investor in QKL, whether a beginner or expert, QKL Stores' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QKL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QKL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QKL Stores' price trends.QKL Stores Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QKL Stores stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QKL Stores could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QKL Stores by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QKL Stores Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QKL Stores stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QKL Stores shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QKL Stores stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QKL Stores entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for QKL Stores
The number of cover stories for QKL Stores depends on current market conditions and QKL Stores' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QKL Stores is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QKL Stores' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for QKL Stock Analysis
When running QKL Stores' price analysis, check to measure QKL Stores' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QKL Stores is operating at the current time. Most of QKL Stores' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QKL Stores' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QKL Stores' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QKL Stores to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.