Legg Mason Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

QLMAFX Fund  USD 13.42  0.06  0.45%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Legg Mason Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66. Legg Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Legg Mason's share price is below 20 indicating that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Legg Mason's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Legg Mason Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Legg Mason hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Legg Mason Partners from the perspective of Legg Mason response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Legg Mason Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66.

Legg Mason after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out fundamental analysis of Legg Mason to check your projections.

Legg Mason Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Legg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Legg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Legg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Legg Mason is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Legg Mason Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Legg Mason Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Legg Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Legg Mason's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Legg Mason Fund Forecast Pattern

Legg Mason Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Legg Mason's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Legg Mason's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.60 and 14.24, respectively. We have considered Legg Mason's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.42
13.42
Expected Value
14.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Legg Mason fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Legg Mason fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4507
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0135
MADMean absolute deviation0.0791
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0057
SAESum of the absolute errors4.665
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Legg Mason Partners price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Legg Mason. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Legg Mason

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legg Mason Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6013.4214.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7013.5214.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.5614.0214.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Legg Mason. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Legg Mason's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Legg Mason's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Legg Mason Partners.

Other Forecasting Options for Legg Mason

For every potential investor in Legg, whether a beginner or expert, Legg Mason's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Legg Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Legg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Legg Mason's price trends.

Legg Mason Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Legg Mason fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Legg Mason could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Legg Mason by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Legg Mason Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Legg Mason's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Legg Mason's current price.

Legg Mason Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Legg Mason fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Legg Mason shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Legg Mason fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Legg Mason Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Legg Mason Risk Indicators

The analysis of Legg Mason's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Legg Mason's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting legg fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Legg Fund

Legg Mason financial ratios help investors to determine whether Legg Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Legg with respect to the benefits of owning Legg Mason security.
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